Match Info

Date: 19 January 2022, Wednesday


	Neptūnas		Alytaus Dzūkija

	1	2
			Watch
	1.19	4.2
	1.16	4.6	Watch
	1.12	4.75
	1.18	4.61
	1.16	4.5
	1.17	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)	4.61 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
79.8%

Alytaus Dzūkija
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Neptūnas's performance.

Alytaus Dzūkija has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alytaus Dzūkija might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Neptūnas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alytaus Dzūkija than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alytaus Dzūkija could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Neptūnas - Alytaus Dzūkija Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:77

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Preview

Neptūnas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alytaus has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Neptūnas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Neptūnas is a favorite.

Last 39 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 33 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2998-2622.

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 17 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1507-1292.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
15.01.22	Lietkabelis - Neptūnas	80:80 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
15.01.22	Telšiai - Neptūnas	78:60 ✺
13.01.22	Neptūnas - Gargždų	48:91 ✺
08.01.22	Delikatesas Joniškis - Neptūnas	71:85 ✺
06.01.22	Neptūnas - Kretinga	65:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWL
- Alytaus Dzūkija
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
15.01.22	Rytas - Alytaus Dzūkija	94:80 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
10.01.22	Šiauliai - Alytaus Dzūkija	97:85 ✺
02.01.22	Alytaus Dzūkija - Rytas	61:88 ✺
28.12.21	Alytaus Dzūkija - Neptūnas	67:79 ✺
19.12.21	Žalgiris Kaunas - Alytaus Dzūkija	78:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
28.12.21	Alytaus Dzūkija - Neptūnas	67:79
29.04.21	Alytaus Dzūkija - Neptūnas	77:86
09.02.21	Neptūnas - Alytaus Dzūkija	81:64
30.12.20	Alytaus Dzūkija - Neptūnas	63:71
18.09.20	Neptūnas - Alytaus Dzūkija	84:81
26.02.20	Neptūnas - Alytaus Dzūkija	78:73
Lietuvos King Mindaugas Cup
11.02.20	Neptūnas - Alytaus Dzūkija	73:72

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