Match Info

LITHUANIA: NKL - LOSERS STAGE

Date: 10 February 2024, Saturday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas		Kretinga

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.6	2.25
	1.63	2.29
	1.6	2.25
	1.59	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)	2.26 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
58.6%

Kretinga
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kretinga than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Neptūnas - Kretinga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:80

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 1.

Neptūnas is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kretinga is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Neptūnas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Neptūnas have a series of guest games.

Neptūnas will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Neptūnas won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 810-892.

Including matches at home between the teams Neptūnas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 381-395.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Neptūnas Klaipeda
Lietuvos NKL
08.02.24	Kretinga - Neptūnas	84:79 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
04.02.24	Nevėžis Kedainiai - Neptūnas	96:92 OT ✺
Lietuvos NKL
01.02.24	Vilniaus Stekas - Neptūnas	79:75 ✺
Lietuvos Krepsinio Lyga
27.01.24	BC Wolves - Neptūnas	92:73 ✺
Lietuvos NKL
27.01.24	Šilutė - Neptūnas	75:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLLW
- BC Kretinga
Lietuvos NKL
08.02.24	Kretinga - Neptūnas	84:79 ✺
03.02.24	Kretinga - Vilniaus Stekas	107:92 ✺
01.02.24	Delikatesas Joniškis - Kretinga	110:78 ✺
27.01.24	Rytas 2 - Kretinga	66:79 ✺
25.01.24	Kretinga - Šilutė	84:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
08.02.24	Kretinga - Neptūnas	84:79
18.11.23	Kretinga - Neptūnas	90:68
16.11.23	Neptūnas - Kretinga	74:83
09.03.23	Neptūnas - Kretinga	92:77
02.02.23	Kretinga - Neptūnas	85:77
01.12.22	Neptūnas - Kretinga	67:81
13.10.22	Kretinga - Neptūnas	92:59

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