Match Info

NKL

Date: 24 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Klaipėdos KKRC (Klaipeda)


	Neptūnas-Akvaservis		Jurbarkas-Karys

	1	2
	1.73	1.92	Watch
	1.79	1.95
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.7	2
	1.73	1.97
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.61)	1.98 ↓ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas-Akvaservis
53.4%

Jurbarkas-Karys
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

45.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas-Akvaservis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Jurbarkas-Karys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas-Akvaservis than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurbarkas-Karys than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Neptūnas Akvaservis - Jurbarkas Karys Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Jonkus E. (C)	99. Babusis K.
77. Lesciauskas K.	17. Kokoska K.
16. Macijauskas M.	6. Matulis G. (C)
13. Maciulis R.	2. Nausedas J.
24. Metrikis K.	55. Tamulis J.
Substitutes
28. Remeikis D.	5. Adomavicius A.
12. Sakaitis R.	10. Guscikas K.
7. Sarakauskas S.	3. Micevicius L.
39. Virkutis J.	7. Saulenas A.
31. Zilius E.	9. Valunta S.
10. Zymantas A.	23. Volbikas A.
Coaches
. Gaidamavicius T.	. Valaitis P.

Preview

Neptūnas-Akvaservis is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Jurbarkas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Jurbarkas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Jurbarkas has had a series of home games.

Neptūnas-Akvaservis could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Neptūnas-Akvaservis will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 239:229. (average 79.7:76.3).

Including home match between the teams, Neptūnas-Akvaservis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 73:77.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Jurbarkas	3	3	0	286:224	3
11	Neptunas 2	3	1	2	247:240	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Klaipėdos Neptūnas-Akvaservis
Lietuvos NKL
22.01.26	Olimpas Palanga - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	56:77 ✺
20.01.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Kauno Žalgiris-2	80:79 ✺
17.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	65:90 ✺
15.01.26	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Šilutė	109:68 ✺
10.01.26	Telšiai - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	65:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWWWW
- BC Jurbarkas-Karys
Lietuvos NKL
22.01.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Vytis Šakiai	92:86 ✺
17.01.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Olimpas Palanga	75:80 ✺
15.01.26	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Jurbarkas-Karys	83:81 ✺
10.01.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Perlas Vilkaviškis	54:72 ✺
08.01.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Rytas 2	80:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
08.11.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	68:71 OT
20.12.24	Jurbarkas-Karys - Neptūnas-Akvaservis	84:95
24.10.24	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Jurbarkas-Karys	73:77

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