Match Info

NKL

Date: 10 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall (Jurbarkas)


	Jurbarkas-Karys		Perlas Vilkaviškis

	1	2
	1.44	2.48	Watch
	1.53	2.32	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.49	2.45
	1.52	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.61)	2.41 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jurbarkas-Karys
61.7%

Perlas Vilkaviškis
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jurbarkas-Karys has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Perlas Vilkaviškis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jurbarkas-Karys than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jurbarkas-Karys that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Perlas Vilkaviškis than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Perlas Vilkaviškis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jurbarkas Karys - Perlas Vilkaviškis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:76

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Babusis K.	21. Gadsden Jr T.
10. Guscikas K.	35. Kucinskas G.
6. Matulis G. (C)	33. Quillan G.
2. Nausedas J.	50. Skucas Z.
9. Valunta S.	34. Stankevicius G.
Substitutes
5. Adomavicius A.	22. Meistas V.
34. Bilevicius T.	5. Pazarauskas T.
17. Kokoska K.	23. Saterfield J. T.
3. Micevicius L.	9. Smirnov K.
7. Saulenas A.	19. Zukauskas M. (C)
55. Tamulis J.
23. Volbikas A.
Coaches
. Valaitis P.	. Zablockis S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jurbarkas won 2.

Jurbarkas is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Perlas Vilkaviškis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Jurbarkas is considered a favorite.

We predict that Jurbarkas will win today's game, with odds of 1.31.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Jurbarkas won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 950:959. (average 79.2:79.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Jurbarkas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 490:448. (average 81.7:74.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Jurbarkas	3	3	0	286:224	3
7	Vilkaviskis	3	2	1	272:248	2

Last Results with these Odds

Jurbarkas-Karys - the odds 1.61 are the expected chance of winning is 57.2%, but this team recently wins 40% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Jurbarkas-Karys
Lietuvos NKL
08.01.26	Jurbarkas-Karys - Rytas 2	80:58 ✺
04.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Jurbarkas-Karys	70:84 ✺
20.12.25	Sūduva - Jurbarkas-Karys	81:60 ✺
18.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Kretinga	80:76 ✺
16.12.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Alytaus Alytus	76:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- Perlas Vilkaviškis
Lietuvos NKL
08.01.26	Plunges Olimpas - Perlas Vilkaviškis	72:77 ✺
03.01.26	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Olimpas Palanga	88:76 ✺
20.12.25	Telšiai - Perlas Vilkaviškis	86:83 ✺
18.12.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Mažeikiai	59:79 ✺
13.12.25	Kauno Žalgiris-2 - Perlas Vilkaviškis	71:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
13.11.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Jurbarkas-Karys	78:87 OT
21.03.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Jurbarkas-Karys	92:62
19.03.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Perlas Vilkaviškis	73:65
16.03.25	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Jurbarkas-Karys	77:75 OT
13.03.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Perlas Vilkaviškis	76:79
20.02.25	Jurbarkas-Karys - Perlas Vilkaviškis	77:62
12.12.24	Perlas Vilkaviškis - Jurbarkas-Karys	96:70

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