Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 30 December 2023, Saturday


	New Mexico State Aggies		California Baptist Lancers

	1	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.83	2
	1.77	2.1
	1.71	2.2
	1.71	2.2
	1.7	2.05
	1.73	2.08
	1.78	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.95)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 137.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Mexico State Aggies
54.4%

California Baptist Lancers
45.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.5%

51.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Mexico State Aggies has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Mexico State Aggies's performance.

California Baptist Lancers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and California Baptist Lancers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for New Mexico State Aggies than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New Mexico State Aggies that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for California Baptist Lancers than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that California Baptist Lancers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

New Mexico State Aggies - California Baptist Lancers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 70:68

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches New Mexico State won 3.

New Mexico State has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches California Baptist is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

California Baptist could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently New Mexico State have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 9 head-to-head matches New Mexico State won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 621-548.

Including matches at home between the teams New Mexico State won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 459-395.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Mexico State Aggies basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.12.23	Tulsa Golden Hurricane - New Mexico State Aggies	65:59 ✺
19.12.23	Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks - New Mexico State Aggies	75:72 ✺
15.12.23	New Mexico State Aggies - New Mexico Lobos	72:73 ✺
02.12.23	New Mexico Lobos - New Mexico State Aggies	106:62 ✺
26.11.23	Louisville Cardinals - New Mexico State Aggies	90:84 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- California Baptist Lancers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
27.12.23	California Baptist Lancers - Chicago State Cougars	74:62 ✺
19.12.23	California Baptist Lancers - Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	70:73 ✺
16.12.23	UC Riverside Highlanders - California Baptist Lancers	69:70 ✺
12.12.23	Oregon Ducks - California Baptist Lancers	76:55 ✺
06.12.23	California Baptist Lancers - Utah Tech Trailblazers	69:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.02.23	California Baptist Lancers - New Mexico State Aggies	California Baptist awarded
07.01.23	New Mexico State Aggies - California Baptist Lancers	61:70
03.02.22	New Mexico State Aggies - California Baptist Lancers	68:57
06.02.21	New Mexico State Aggies - California Baptist Lancers	97:70
05.02.21	New Mexico State Aggies - California Baptist Lancers	75:85
05.03.20	New Mexico State Aggies - California Baptist Lancers	83:50
04.01.20	California Baptist Lancers - New Mexico State Aggies	71:86

New Mexico State Aggies - California Baptist Lancers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide