Match Info

World Cup - Qualification - First round - Round 2

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: TSB Bank Arena (Wellington) 🌤️ ...


	New Zealand		Australia

	1	2
	2.55	1.48
	2.26	1.5
	2.31	1.55
	4.87	1.12	Watch
	2.35	1.56	Watch
	2.5	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (5.18)	1.45 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 171.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

New Zealand
34.1%

Australia
65.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

82.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

New Zealand has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in New Zealand's performance.

Australia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Australia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

New Zealand - Australia Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. New Zealand will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Australia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for New Zealand: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 170.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): New Zealand will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:92

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Lineups


4. Ball J. Illawarra Hawks	10. Ayre B. Tasmania JackJumpers
5. Britt T. New Zealand Breakers	13. Bannan J. Tasmania JackJumpers
11. Cameron F. Adelaide	4. Daniels D. Melbourne United
0. Davison C. New Zealand Breakers	8. Ducas A. Brisbane Bullets
3. Delany F. Melbourne United	9. Galloway J. Sydney
24. Harrison T. Brisbane Bullets	5. Glover A. South East Melbourne
7. King M. Cairns Taipans	6. Hickey W. Illawarra Hawks
2. Le'Afa I. New Zealand Breakers	1. Hunter J. South East Melbourne
8. Mennenga S. New Zealand Breakers	15. Kay N. Shimane
6. Murray T. Brisbane Bullets	40. Pepper E.
16. Smith-Milner T. Brisbane Bullets	25. Pinder K. Akita
10. Wetzell Y. Akita	14. White J. Mersin SK
Coaches
. Flavell J.	. Vickerman D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1.

In this match, Australia is the team to beat.

There will not play in Australia: Foxwell O. (Inactive)

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, New Zealand won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 686:783. (average 76.2:87).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- New Zealand basketball
World Championship Basketball
28.11.25	Australia - New Zealand	84:79 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball
17.08.25	Iran - New Zealand	79:73 ✺
16.08.25	China - New Zealand	98:84 ✺
14.08.25	New Zealand - Lebanon	90:86 ✺
09.08.25	Chinese Taipei - New Zealand	78:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWW
- Australia basketball
World Championship Basketball
28.11.25	Australia - New Zealand	84:79 ✺
Asia Cup Basketball
17.08.25	Australia - China	90:89 ✺
16.08.25	Australia - Iran	92:48 ✺
13.08.25	Australia - Philippines	84:60 ✺
10.08.25	Qatar - Australia	82:110 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

World Championship Basketball
28.11.25	Australia - New Zealand	84:79
Friendly International Basketball
11.05.25	New Zealand - Australia	106:97
09.05.25	Australia - New Zealand	92:67
07.05.25	Australia - New Zealand	80:68
Asia Cup Basketball
23.07.22	Australia - New Zealand	85:76
Commonwealth Games Basketball
07.04.18	New Zealand - Australia	73:79
Asia Cup Basketball
19.08.17	New Zealand - Australia	79:106

New Zealand - Australia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide