Match Info

UNITED KINGDOM: BBL

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vertu Motors Arena (Newcastle) 🌤️ ...


	Newcastle Eagles		Surrey Scorchers

	1	2
	1.45	2.5
	1.49	2.38
	1.55	2.5
	1.53	2.5
	1.5	2.5
	1.49	2.5
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.87)	2.45 ↑ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 177.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle Eagles
61.9%

Surrey Scorchers
38.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

49.8%

50.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49%

51%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Eagles's performance.

Surrey Scorchers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Surrey Scorchers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Eagles than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Eagles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Surrey Scorchers than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Surrey Scorchers could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Newcastle Eagles - Surrey Scorchers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 91:87

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Newcastle Eagles won 4.

Newcastle Eagles is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Surrey Scorchers is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Newcastle Eagles could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Surrey Scorchers have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Newcastle Eagles won 13 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 1807-1677.

Including matches at home between the teams Newcastle Eagles won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 928-812.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Eagles
British Basketball League
15.03.24	Newcastle Eagles - Sheffield Sharks	77:87 ✺
ENBL
13.03.24	Bakken Bears - Newcastle Eagles	96:92 OT ✺
British Basketball League
10.03.24	Caledonia Gladiators - Newcastle Eagles	98:80 ✺
08.03.24	Newcastle Eagles - Manchester Giants	109:77 ✺
ENBL
01.03.24	Newcastle Eagles - Bakken Bears	87:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLWL
- Surrey Scorchers
British Basketball League
21.03.24	Manchester Giants - Surrey Scorchers	78:86 ✺
07.03.24	Sheffield Sharks - Surrey Scorchers	71:62 ✺
02.03.24	Bristol Flyers - Surrey Scorchers	74:80 ✺
17.02.24	Surrey Scorchers - Manchester Giants	89:85 ✺
15.02.24	Caledonia Gladiators - Surrey Scorchers	84:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

British Basketball League
01.12.23	Newcastle Eagles - Surrey Scorchers	88:93
25.11.23	Surrey Scorchers - Newcastle Eagles	87:100
02.04.23	Surrey Scorchers - Newcastle Eagles	78:79
06.01.23	Newcastle Eagles - Surrey Scorchers	79:72
18.12.22	Surrey Scorchers - Newcastle Eagles	86:88
04.11.22	Newcastle Eagles - Surrey Scorchers	74:79
17.04.22	Surrey Scorchers - Newcastle Eagles	81:104

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle Eagles
British Basketball League
30.10.26	Leicester Riders - Newcastle Eagles	✺

Newcastle Eagles - Surrey Scorchers