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Current Win Probability
Niigata Albirex 38.7%
Iwate Big Bulls 61.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.4%
53.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.7%
48.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Niigata Albirex has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Niigata Albirex's form might have worsened.
Iwate Big Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iwate Big Bulls's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niigata Albirex than the current prediction. (+13%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Niigata Albirex, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwate Big Bulls than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iwate Big Bulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Niigata Albirex - Iwate Big Bulls Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:80
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
9. Hamataka Y.
4. Gurley N.
30. Maruyama K.
2. Ishikawa H.
23. Mutombo J. P.
3. Nakamura J.
5. Oliver D.
18. Saeki R.
14. Omori T.
16. Toro A.
Substitutes
1. Combs J.
12. Hisaoka K.
15. Hamada A.
22. Monma K.
6. Hasegawa T. (C)
24. Polakovich J.
3. Horiuchi S.
0. Sekiya K. (C)
7. Igarashi K.
1. Shohei G.
16. Matsui K.
30. Shutatsu T.
10. Min-Wook K.
8. Yamazaki R.
Coaches
. Yoshinaga T.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 2.
Niigata has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Iwate shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Niigata may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Iwate holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, Niigata has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1319:1396 (averaging 69.4:73.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Niigata against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 755:837 goals (averaging 68.6:76.1 per game).
Watch
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Hamataka Y. 
Gurley N. 
Mutombo J. P. 
Toro A. 
Min-Wook K. 
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