Match Info

BBL - Round 21

Date: 18 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Messe Chemnitz (Chemnitz)


	Niners Chemnitz		Heidelberg

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.22	4.05	Watch
	1.21	4.51
	1.19	4.41	Watch
	1.2	4.33
	1.22	4.46	Watch
	1.16	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↓ (1.41)	4.39 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niners Chemnitz
78.5%

Heidelberg
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.2%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niners Chemnitz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niners Chemnitz's performance.

Heidelberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidelberg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niners Chemnitz than the current prediction. (-14.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niners Chemnitz that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidelberg than the current prediction. (+14.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidelberg could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Niners Chemnitz - Heidelberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Chemnitz will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Heidelberg will win (votes: 3 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Chemnitz (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Bedime R.	0. Horne D.
5. Davis C.	15. Kessen M.
91. Minchev Y.	33. Mikesell R.
9. Newman III J.	12. Osunniyi O.
2. Sibande N.	43. Reed E.
Substitutes
13. Kellig L.	11. Ersek E.
11. Mushidi K.	3. McClain K.
8. Schakel J.	7. Neskovic D.
52. Wahren C.	21. Seric M.
33. Washington E.	2. Wurzner N.
0. Yebo K.	9. Zipser P.
Coaches
. Pastore R.	. Jansson D.

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Pro A).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chemnitz won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Heidelberg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chemnitz is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chemnitz won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1600:1566. (average 80:78.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Chemnitz won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 675:602. (average 84.4:75.3).

Outrights of German BBL for now

Chemnitz: 1.04%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
16	Chemnitz	5	1	4	425:445	2

Last Results with these Odds

Niners Chemnitz - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 67.21%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.

Heidelberg - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.79%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niners Chemnitz
German BBL
15.02.26	Trier - Niners Chemnitz	100:105 ✺
Eurocup
11.02.26	Türk Telekom BK - Niners Chemnitz	79:62 ✺
German BBL
07.02.26	Niners Chemnitz - Mitteldeutscher	79:75 ✺
Eurocup
04.02.26	Niners Chemnitz - Basket Trento	81:67 ✺
German BBL
31.01.26	BCJ Hamburg - Niners Chemnitz	86:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLWWL
- USC Heidelberg
German BBL
13.02.26	s.Oliver Wurzburg - Heidelberg	70:54 ✺
08.02.26	Heidelberg - Bayern München	63:106 ✺
01.02.26	Lowen Braunschweig - Heidelberg	94:99 ✺
24.01.26	Ratiopharm Ulm - Heidelberg	77:79 ✺
16.01.26	Heidelberg - EWE Baskets Oldenburg	80:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German BBL
05.10.25	Heidelberg - Niners Chemnitz	83:90
27.05.25	Heidelberg - Niners Chemnitz	92:64
25.05.25	Niners Chemnitz - Heidelberg	97:88
20.05.25	Heidelberg - Niners Chemnitz	74:70
17.05.25	Niners Chemnitz - Heidelberg	90:93
16.04.25	Heidelberg - Niners Chemnitz	81:66
11.02.25	Niners Chemnitz - Heidelberg	72:65

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