Match Info

Premier League - Round 22

Date: 26 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Njardtaks-gryfjan (Reykjanesbaer)


	Njarðvík		Keflavík

	1	2
	1.88	1.76	Watch
	1.65	2.14
	1.87	1.81	Watch
	1.95	1.83
	1.92	1.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.84)	1.86 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 194.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Njarðvík
50.1%

Keflavík
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Njarðvík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Njarðvík that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keflavík could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Njarðvík - Keflavík Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Njarðvík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Njarðvík will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 96:98

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Alexandersson V. (C)	77. Bulic M.
23. Lautier-Ogunleye D.	9. Hermannsson H. (C)
67. Milka D.	12. Koulechov E.
2. Pipkins L.	13. Moller C.
24. Smajlagic S.	14. Petursson H.
Substitutes
15. Gunnarsson B.	8. Bardarson E.
7. Hearn K. M.	5. Brodnik J.
19. Johannesson G.	2. Clarke D.
6. Jonsson A.	23. Gunnlaugsson O.
18. Magnusson S.	10. Magnusson J.
11. Stefansson S.	11. Orelj N.
3. Unnarsson B.	7. Sigurdarson F.
Coaches
. Erlingsson R.	. Gudmundsson D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 2.

Recent performances by Njarðvík have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Keflavík is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1736:1842. (average 86.8:92.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Njarðvík won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 819:853. (average 91:94.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Keflavik	1	1	0	108:90	2
9	Njardvik	1	0	1	77:85	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Njarðvíkur Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
19.03.26	Thor Thorl - Njarðvík	109:72 ✺
12.03.26	Njarðvík - Valur	110:78 ✺
06.03.26	Armann - Njarðvík	87:104 ✺
19.02.26	Njarðvík - KR Basket Reykjavík	92:105 ✺
12.02.26	Stjarnan - Njarðvík	113:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL
- Keflavík Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
19.03.26	Keflavík - Valur	85:88 ✺
12.03.26	KR Basket Reykjavík - Keflavík	107:105 ✺
06.03.26	Álftaness - Keflavík	96:106 ✺
19.02.26	Akraness - Keflavík	97:96 ✺
13.02.26	Keflavík - Grindavík	99:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
18.12.25	Keflavík - Njarðvík	93:83
Club Friendly Basketball
08.09.25	Njarðvík - Keflavík	80:94
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
16.01.25	Njarðvík - Keflavík	107:98
18.10.24	Keflavík - Njarðvík	88:89
28.03.24	Keflavík - Njarðvík	127:114
08.12.23	Njarðvík - Keflavík	82:103
30.03.23	Keflavík - Njarðvík	79:82

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