Match Info

Premier League - Round 20

Date: 12 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Njardtaks-gryfjan (Reykjanesbaer)


	Njarðvík		Valur

	1	2
			Watch
	1.92	1.73
	1.96	1.78
	1.93	1.76	Watch
	2	1.8
	1.97	1.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.84)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Njarðvík
47.4%

Valur
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.7%

46.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Njarðvík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Valur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Njarðvík than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Njarðvík, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valur than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Valur, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Njarðvík - Valur Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 181, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5, OT - Njarðvík (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Njarðvík (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:92

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Alexandersson V. (C)	6. Acox K. (C)
23. Lautier-Ogunleye D.	10. Jonsson K.
67. Milka D.	21. Lawson C.
2. Pipkins L.	5. Nikolic L.
24. Smajlagic S.	24. Woods K.
Substitutes
15. Gunnarsson B.	0. Agustsson G.
19. Johannesson G.	77. Maric I.
6. Jonsson A.	18. Sigurdarson K.
18. Magnusson S.	3. Stefansson H.
8. Olafsson V. M.	9. Svavarsson O.
11. Stefansson S.	11. Svavarsson V.
3. Unnarsson B.	20. Yeoman D.
Coaches
. Erlingsson R.	. Stefansson F.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 2.

In recent matches, Njarðvík has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Valur is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Njarðvík won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1692:1655. (average 84.6:82.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Njarðvík won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 703:701. (average 87.9:87.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Valur	1	1	0	90:77	2
9	Njardvik	1	0	1	77:85	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMF Njarðvíkur Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.03.26	Armann - Njarðvík	87:104 ✺
19.02.26	Njarðvík - KR Basket Reykjavík	92:105 ✺
12.02.26	Stjarnan - Njarðvík	113:103 ✺
29.01.26	Njarðvík - Álftaness	101:96 ✺
23.01.26	Tindastóll - Njarðvík	113:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Valur Reykjavik Basketball
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
07.03.26	Valur - KR Basket Reykjavík	92:90 OT ✺
20.02.26	Álftaness - Valur	87:108 ✺
12.02.26	Valur - Akraness	102:85 ✺
29.01.26	Grindavík - Valur	78:67 ✺
22.01.26	Valur - Thor Thorl	80:71 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Premier League Basketball
05.12.25	Valur - Njarðvík	94:86
30.01.25	Valur - Njarðvík	88:76
31.10.24	Njarðvík - Valur	101:94
14.05.24	Valur - Njarðvík	85:82
11.05.24	Njarðvík - Valur	91:88
07.05.24	Valur - Njarðvík	68:67
03.05.24	Njarðvík - Valur	69:78

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