Match Info

NCAA

Date: 5 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks		William & Mary Tribe

	1	2
	1.44	2.85
	1.45	2.6
	1.47	2.78
	1.5	2.44	Watch
	1.47	2.7
	1.45	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.41)	2.67 ↓ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks
64.6%

William & Mary Tribe
35.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.8%

33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.3%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

William & Mary Tribe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for William & Mary Tribe than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

North Carolina Wilmington Seahawks - William & Mary Tribe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:75

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNCW won 4.

UNCW is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

William & Mary's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

William & Mary may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UNCW has had a series of away games.

Recently, William & Mary has had a series of home games.

UNCW could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNCW won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 1587:1564. (average 79.4:78.2).

Including home matches between the teams, UNCW won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 779:717. (average 86.6:79.7).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

William & Mary: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
29.01.26	Towson Tigers - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	73:82 ✺
24.01.26	Hampton Pirates - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	67:75 ✺
22.01.26	William & Mary Tribe - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	77:70 ✺
17.01.26	North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks - Campbell Fighting Camels	78:75 ✺
10.01.26	Stony Brook Seawolves - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	71:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- William & Mary Tribe basketball
NCAA College Basketball
31.01.26	William & Mary Tribe - Campbell Fighting Camels	96:104 ✺
29.01.26	Elon University Phoenix - William & Mary Tribe	79:76 ✺
24.01.26	William & Mary Tribe - Hofstra Pride	89:82 ✺
22.01.26	William & Mary Tribe - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	77:70 ✺
15.01.26	William & Mary Tribe - North Carolina A&T Aggies	97:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
22.01.26	William & Mary Tribe - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	77:70
24.02.25	William & Mary Tribe - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	70:79
20.01.25	North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks - William & Mary Tribe	85:74
22.02.24	William & Mary Tribe - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	65:81
04.02.23	William & Mary Tribe - North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks	63:70
14.01.23	North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks - William & Mary Tribe	67:69
14.02.22	North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks - William & Mary Tribe	80:73 OT (63:63)

North Carolina-Wilmington Seahawks - William & Mary Tribe