Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 January 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	North Florida Ospreys		Eastern Kentucky Colonels

	1	2
	3.75	1.29
	3.2	1.36
	3.8	1.23
	2.89	1.34	Watch
	4	1.25
	3.72	1.26
	3.75	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.89)	1.29 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

North Florida Ospreys
26.4%

Eastern Kentucky Colonels
73.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.7%

68.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

64.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Florida Ospreys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Florida Ospreys's form might have worsened.

Eastern Kentucky Colonels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Eastern Kentucky Colonels's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Florida Ospreys than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Florida Ospreys, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Kentucky Colonels than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eastern Kentucky Colonels, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Florida Ospreys - Eastern Kentucky Colonels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:87

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Florida won 0.

North Florida has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Eastern Kentucky has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Eastern Kentucky is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, North Florida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 430:483. (average 71.7:80.5).

Including home matches between the teams, North Florida won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 222:248. (average 74:82.7).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

North Florida: 0.22% Eastern Kentucky: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- North Florida Ospreys basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Central Arkansas Bears - North Florida Ospreys	98:69 ✺
15.01.26	North Alabama Lions - North Florida Ospreys	91:105 ✺
10.01.26	North Florida Ospreys - Queens Royals	82:89 ✺
08.01.26	North Florida Ospreys - West Georgia Wolves	73:85 ✺
03.01.26	Lipscomb Bisons - North Florida Ospreys	82:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWLLL
- Eastern Kentucky Colonels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - Bellarmine Knights	89:69 ✺
15.01.26	Austin Peay Governors - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	74:72 ✺
10.01.26	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - Central Arkansas Bears	79:75 OT ✺
08.01.26	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - North Alabama Lions	88:80 ✺
03.01.26	West Georgia Wolves - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	88:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
26.02.25	North Florida Ospreys - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	81:86
09.01.25	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - North Florida Ospreys	79:74
27.01.24	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - North Florida Ospreys	89:76
22.02.23	North Florida Ospreys - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	74:82
22.01.22	Eastern Kentucky Colonels - North Florida Ospreys	67:58
25.11.20	North Florida Ospreys - Eastern Kentucky Colonels	67:80

North Florida Ospreys - Eastern Kentucky Colonels