Match Info

NCAA

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday


	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks		Southern Utah Thunderbirds

	1	2
	1.36	3.25
	1.33	3.1
	1.35	3.3
	1.35	2.97	Watch
	1.33	3.15
	1.34	3.23
	1.36	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.41)	3.18 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
70.3%

Southern Utah Thunderbirds
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Northern Arizona Lumberjacks's performance.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Southern Utah Thunderbirds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northern Arizona Lumberjacks than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Northern Arizona Lumberjacks that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Southern Utah Thunderbirds than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Southern Utah Thunderbirds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Southern Utah Thunderbirds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:72

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Arizona won 2.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Southern Utah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Southern Utah has had a series of away games.

In this match, Northern Arizona is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northern Arizona won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1411:1455. (average 70.6:72.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Arizona won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 641:688. (average 71.2:76.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Arizona Lumberjacks basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.12.25	San Diego Toreros - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	78:69 ✺
09.12.25	Arizona State Sun Devils - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	73:48 ✺
06.12.25	North Dakota State Bison - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	69:68 ✺
03.12.25	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - South Dakota State Jackrabbits	62:75 ✺
26.11.25	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Southeast Missouri State Redhawks	79:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLLW
- Southern Utah Thunderbirds basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.12.25	Washington Huskies - Southern Utah Thunderbirds	105:69 ✺
06.12.25	Oregon State Beavers - Southern Utah Thunderbirds	81:70 ✺
29.11.25	Southern Utah Thunderbirds - Stetson Mad Hatters	70:68 ✺
28.11.25	Robert Morris Colonials - Southern Utah Thunderbirds	61:54 ✺
19.11.25	Washington State Cougars - Southern Utah Thunderbirds	98:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
21.12.24	Southern Utah Thunderbirds - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	75:83
16.12.23	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Southern Utah Thunderbirds	76:74
17.12.22	Southern Utah Thunderbirds - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	106:101 OT (92:92)
21.02.22	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Southern Utah Thunderbirds	48:79
31.01.22	Southern Utah Thunderbirds - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	78:66
26.02.21	Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Southern Utah Thunderbirds	62:92
25.02.21	Southern Utah Thunderbirds - Northern Arizona Lumberjacks	N/A

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks - Southern Utah Thunderbirds: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide