Match Info

NCAA

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Northern Kentucky Norse		Youngstown State Penguins

	1	2
	1.59	2.45
	1.59	2.4
	1.52	2.33
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.53	2.4
	1.59	2.24
	1.54	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 (1.56)	2.38 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Kentucky Norse
60.3%

Youngstown State Penguins
39.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.7%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

38.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Kentucky Norse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Youngstown State Penguins has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Kentucky Norse than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Youngstown State Penguins than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Northern Kentucky Norse - Youngstown State Penguins Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:71

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Kentucky won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Youngstown State may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Northern Kentucky will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Northern Kentucky will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Northern Kentucky won 15 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1486:1407. (average 74.3:70.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Kentucky won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 859:750. (average 78.1:68.2).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Youngstown State: 0.22% Northern Kentucky: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Kentucky Norse basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.01.26	Northern Kentucky Norse - IUPUI Jaguars	81:72 ✺
29.12.25	Robert Morris Colonials - Northern Kentucky Norse	77:79 ✺
21.12.25	Northern Kentucky Norse - Charleston Cougars	74:85 ✺
17.12.25	Northern Kentucky Norse - Oakland Golden Grizzlies	77:82 ✺
13.12.25	Bellarmine Knights - Northern Kentucky Norse	76:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLLW
- Youngstown State Penguins basketball
NCAA College Basketball
01.01.26	Youngstown State Penguins - Oakland Golden Grizzlies	83:85 ✺
29.12.25	Youngstown State Penguins - Detroit Mercy Titans	68:73 ✺
20.12.25	Youngstown State Penguins - USC Upstate Spartans	74:65 ✺
17.12.25	Robert Morris Colonials - Youngstown State Penguins	80:77 OT ✺
06.12.25	IUPUI Jaguars - Youngstown State Penguins	55:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.03.25	Northern Kentucky Norse - Youngstown State Penguins	88:79
08.01.25	Youngstown State Penguins - Northern Kentucky Norse	72:61
28.01.24	Youngstown State Penguins - Northern Kentucky Norse	82:52
04.01.24	Northern Kentucky Norse - Youngstown State Penguins	79:76
06.03.23	Youngstown State Penguins - Northern Kentucky Norse	63:75
04.02.23	Youngstown State Penguins - Northern Kentucky Norse	74:56
01.12.22	Northern Kentucky Norse - Youngstown State Penguins	77:73 OT (58:58)

Northern Kentucky Norse - Youngstown State Penguins