Match Info

1. Liga - Round 5

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Widowiskowo-Sportowa Inowrocław (Inowrocław)

Referee: Ulewinski M. (Pol)


	Noteć Inowrocław		Basket Poznań

	1	2
	2.09	1.63	Watch
	2.13	1.65
	2.56	1.43	Watch
	2.04	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.07)	1.58 ↓ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Noteć Inowrocław
41.8%

Basket Poznań
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

55.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Noteć Inowrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Basket Poznań has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noteć Inowrocław than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Poznań than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:82

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Lineups


7. Ciesielski D.	1. Barnes D.
5. Frye D.	13. Dydak T.
0. Gawarecki A.	8. Kluj J.
1. Grzesiak M.	4. Krajewski A.
8. Hamilton C. B.	21. Krajewski I.
34. Harris D.	9. Rosinski K.
3. Lis P.	14. Roszczka M.
13. Makowski K.	6. Samsonowicz M. (C)
23. Rompa S.	20. Stankowski P.
6. Sobiech S. (C)	22. Stopierzynski M.
4. Styczen M.	3. Wagner S.
9. Trubacz R.	15. Washington J.
Coaches
. Luszczewski P.	. Klozinski M.

Preview

Inowrocław has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Poznań's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Inowrocław won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 362:370. (average 72.4:74).

Including home matches between the teams, Inowrocław won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 238:233. (average 79.3:77.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KSK Noteć Inowrocław
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
05.10.25	Żubry Białystok - Noteć Inowrocław	62:83 ✺
01.10.25	Noteć Inowrocław - Astoria Bydgoszcz	65:110 ✺
27.09.25	Politechnika Opolska - Noteć Inowrocław	98:90 ✺
20.09.25	Noteć Inowrocław - ŁKS Łódź	69:91 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
06.09.25	Anwil Włocławek - Noteć Inowrocław	84:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLLL
- Basket Poznań
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
05.10.25	Basket Poznań - Polonia Warszawa	71:82 ✺
01.10.25	Polonia 1912 Leszno - Basket Poznań	64:90 ✺
27.09.25	Basket Poznań - Sokol Lancut	91:64 ✺
20.09.25	GKS Tychy - Basket Poznań	81:75 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
03.09.25	Basket Poznań - ŁKS Łódź	87:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish 1 Liga Basketball
04.01.25	Basket Poznań - Noteć Inowrocław	80:63
29.09.24	Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań	81:69
Club Friendly Basketball
31.08.24	Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań	73:76
Polish 1 Liga Basketball
24.03.18	Noteć Inowrocław - Basket Poznań	84:88
09.12.17	Basket Poznań - Noteć Inowrocław	57:61

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