Match Info

Liga A

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Dr.Luis Augusto Derna (Oberá)


	Oberá TC		Independiente de Oliva

	1	2
	1.48	2.55
	1.45	2.5
	1.52	2.4
	1.41	2.9
	1.67	2.07	Watch
	1.43	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.4)	2.51 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oberá TC
62.7%

Independiente de Oliva
37.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oberá TC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Independiente de Oliva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oberá TC than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oberá TC that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Independiente de Oliva than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Independiente de Oliva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Oberá TC - Independiente de Oliva Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oberá will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Oberá (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
92. Bird J.	1. Caffaro A.
11. Brocal A.	2. Conrradi F.
17. Draper D.	9. Rolfi F.
10. Sansimoni B.	8. Tabarez P.
41. Vorhees W.	19. Vallejos R.
Substitutes
22. Andujar L.	7. Barrionuevo F.
7. Azpilicueta A.	32. Diez C.
8. Barrales S.	12. Duvanced V.
13. Costa A.	27. Filipetti E.
47. Niebles E.	6. Marcucci N. J.
6. Quiroga N.	10. Pautasso A.
15. Russell Jr. D.	3. Tolosa G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oberá won 5.

Oberá is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ind de Oliva has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ind de Oliva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Oberá might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Oberá won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 575:534. (average 82.1:76.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oberá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 239:224. (average 79.7:74.7).

Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now

Obera TC: 4.61% Independiente de Oliva: 1.45%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		PCT
14	Independiente de Oliva	1	0	1	92:97	0.000
18	Obera TC	1	0	1	73:96	0.000

Last Results with these Odds

Oberá TC - the odds 1.4 are the expected chance of winning is 64.56%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Independiente de Oliva - the odds 2.55 are the expected chance of winning is 35.44%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oberá TC
Argentinian LNB
17.03.26	Oberá TC - Ferro Carril Oeste	84:80 ✺
13.03.26	Ciclista Olímpico - Oberá TC	77:79 ✺
11.03.26	Quimsa - Oberá TC	80:76 ✺
05.03.26	Oberá TC - San Martín de Corrientes	73:62 ✺
18.02.26	Obras Sanitarias - Oberá TC	80:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLWW
- Independiente de Oliva
Argentinian LNB
18.03.26	La Unión Formosa - Independiente de Oliva	103:91 ✺
12.03.26	Independiente de Oliva - Regatas Corrientes	89:83 ✺
08.03.26	Argentino - Independiente de Oliva	83:95 ✺
06.03.26	Racing de Chivilcoy - Independiente de Oliva	89:84 ✺
15.02.26	Independiente de Oliva - Unión Santa Fe	103:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
01.11.25	Independiente de Oliva - Oberá TC	83:84
15.05.25	Independiente de Oliva - Oberá TC	84:93
11.11.24	Oberá TC - Independiente de Oliva	83:81
21.03.24	Oberá TC - Independiente de Oliva	85:77
28.01.24	Independiente de Oliva - Oberá TC	78:85
16.12.22	Independiente de Oliva - Oberá TC	65:74
12.10.22	Oberá TC - Independiente de Oliva	71:66

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