The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Lorenzo de Almagro 58.3%
Oberá TC 41.7%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.3%
50.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47%
53%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Lorenzo de Almagro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in San Lorenzo de Almagro's performance.
Oberá TC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Oberá TC might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Lorenzo de Almagro than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with San Lorenzo de Almagro that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oberá TC than the current prediction. (+11.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oberá TC could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
San Lorenzo de Almagro - Oberá TC Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:70
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
7. Aguirre G.
8. Barrales S.
10. Hornbeak C.
11. Brocal A.
6. Mata M.
1. Prince T.
20. Schattmann L.
10. Sansimoni B.
3. Thornton R.
41. Vorhees W.
Substitutes
5. Actis J.
7. Azpilicueta A.
9. Calderon S.
13. Costa A.
1. Gargallo L.
4. Fernandez V.
33. Maricevic A.
5. Mousquere M.
13. Nesci V.
77. Oberto J. C.
2. Roca T.
0. Santos M.
21. Tallade S.
2. Torresi J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Lorenzo won 3.
San Lorenzo has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Oberá has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
San Lorenzo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, San Lorenzo has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with San Lorenzo holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for San Lorenzo in today's match, at odds of 1.59.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, San Lorenzo has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1163:1098 (averaging 77.5:73.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for San Lorenzo against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 684:627 goals (averaging 85.5:78.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
L
PCT
16
San Lorenzo
4
1
3
305:323
0.250
17
Obera TC
5
1
4
367:406
0.200
Last Results with these Odds
San Lorenzo de Almagro - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.31%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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Aguirre G. 
Hornbeak C. 
Maricevic A. 
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