Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - Round 34

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday

Location: Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar (Santiago de Compostela)


	Obradoiro CAB		Joventut Badalona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.33	3.4
	1.32	3.4	Watch
	1.34	3.42
	1.36	3.25
	1.33	3.38	Watch
	1.32	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.5)	3.38 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obradoiro CAB
71.7%

Joventut Badalona
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obradoiro CAB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Obradoiro CAB's performance.

Joventut Badalona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Joventut Badalona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Obradoiro CAB than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Obradoiro CAB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joventut Badalona than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Joventut Badalona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Obradoiro CAB - Joventut Badalona Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Obradoiro will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Joventut will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Dotson D.	24. Feliz A.
0. Howard J.	1. Kraag Y.
13. Pustovyi A.	23. Ruzic M.
1. Scrubb T.	44. Tomic A.
6. Timma J.	16. Vives G.
Substitutes
11. Blazevic M.	21. Allen M.
7. Figueras P.	10. Brodziansky V.
32. Guerrero R.	3. Busquets J.
9. Harguindey P.	0. Evans S.
26. Mendoza R.	34. Lopez K.
93. Suarez A.	9. Prey R.
5. Zurbriggen F.	11. Rodriguez J.
Coaches
. Fernandez M.	. Miret Garcia D.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ LEB Oro and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Obradoiro won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Joventut could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Obradoiro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Obradoiro to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Obradoiro won 9 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1559-1597.

Including matches at home between the teams Obradoiro won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 723-710.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obradoiro CAB
Spanish ACB League
09.05.24	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	75:81 ✺
04.05.24	Obradoiro CAB - BC Andorra	101:89 ✺
28.04.24	Real Madrid - Obradoiro CAB	79:69 ✺
21.04.24	Bilbao Basket - Obradoiro CAB	72:75 ✺
13.04.24	Obradoiro CAB - Basquet Manresa	86:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWLWL
- Joventut Badalona
Spanish ACB League
09.05.24	Joventut Badalona - Canarias	96:88 ✺
04.05.24	Valencia - Joventut Badalona	83:76 ✺
27.04.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - Joventut Badalona	97:79 ✺
21.04.24	Joventut Badalona - Girona	96:90 ✺
14.04.24	Real Madrid - Joventut Badalona	95:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
10.12.23	Joventut Badalona - Obradoiro CAB	78:69
14.05.23	Joventut Badalona - Obradoiro CAB	96:85
17.12.22	Obradoiro CAB - Joventut Badalona	74:91
11.05.22	Joventut Badalona - Obradoiro CAB	78:84
24.09.21	Obradoiro CAB - Joventut Badalona	93:91
13.03.21	Joventut Badalona - Obradoiro CAB	91:84
17.12.20	Obradoiro CAB - Joventut Badalona	83:87

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