Match Info

Copa España - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 January 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Palencia		Obradoiro CAB

	1	2
	1.95	1.72
	1.8	1.92
	1.77	1.94	Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.76	2.1	Watch
	1.95	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.89)	1.89 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia
50.9%

Obradoiro CAB
49.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.6%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Obradoiro CAB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obradoiro CAB than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Palencia - Obradoiro CAB Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Palencia (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -2.5, OT - Obradoiro (2.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Palencia will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Palencia will win (13 of 13 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Palencia (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Obradoiro (votes: 1 - 6.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palencia won 3.

Recent performances by Palencia have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Obradoiro is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Obradoiro will win today's game, with odds of 1.85.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Palencia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 752:748. (average 83.6:83.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Palencia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 444:428. (average 88.8:85.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	85:87 ✺
28.12.25	Palencia - Burgos	91:76 ✺
20.12.25	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Palencia	73:67 ✺
17.12.25	Fibwi Palma - Palencia	86:93 ✺
12.12.25	Palencia - Gipuzkoa Basket	64:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLWL
- Obradoiro CAB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	85:87 ✺
28.12.25	Obradoiro CAB - Básquet Coruña	103:99 ✺
21.12.25	Palmer Basket - Obradoiro CAB	45:115 ✺
16.12.25	Obradoiro CAB - Zamora	106:80 ✺
06.12.25	Obradoiro CAB - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	97:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	85:87
25.05.25	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	92:83
23.05.25	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	101:94 OT
18.05.25	Obradoiro CAB - Palencia	72:85
16.05.25	Obradoiro CAB - Palencia	87:83
12.04.25	Obradoiro CAB - Palencia	77:76
05.12.24	Palencia - Obradoiro CAB	91:83

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
31.10.26	Estela - Palencia	✺
- Obradoiro CAB
Spanish ACB League
01.11.26	Obradoiro CAB - CB Breogán	✺

Palencia - Obradoiro CAB