Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 16

Date: 29 December 2023, Friday

Location: Pavillón Multiusos Fontes do Sar (Santiago de Compostela)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Obradoiro CAB		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.72
	2.15	1.72	Watch
	2.17	1.74
	2.15	1.74
	2.12	1.75	Watch
	2.17	1.69	Watch
	2.15	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.82)	1.72 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Obradoiro CAB
44.5%

UCAM Murcia
55.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Obradoiro CAB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Obradoiro CAB's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Obradoiro CAB than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Obradoiro CAB - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:83

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Obradoiro won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 23 head-to-head matches Obradoiro won 10 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 1789-1807.

Including matches at home between the teams Obradoiro won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 970-961.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Obradoiro CAB
Spanish ACB League
23.12.23	CB Breogán - Obradoiro CAB	88:90 ✺
16.12.23	Obradoiro CAB - Real Madrid	74:85 ✺
10.12.23	Joventut Badalona - Obradoiro CAB	78:69 ✺
02.12.23	Canarias - Obradoiro CAB	87:92 ✺
25.11.23	Obradoiro CAB - Granada	77:94 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLWL
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
22.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Unicaja Malaga	65:88 ✺
Champions League Basketball
20.12.23	Tofaş - UCAM Murcia	75:90 ✺
Spanish ACB League
17.12.23	CB Breogán - UCAM Murcia	74:83 ✺
Champions League Basketball
13.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Derthona Basket Tortona	87:75 ✺
Spanish ACB League
10.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Valencia	77:85 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
08.04.23	Obradoiro CAB - UCAM Murcia	81:79
27.11.22	UCAM Murcia - Obradoiro CAB	80:84
01.05.22	UCAM Murcia - Obradoiro CAB	98:80
16.10.21	Obradoiro CAB - UCAM Murcia	70:104
19.05.21	Obradoiro CAB - UCAM Murcia	80:83 OT (72:72)
27.12.20	UCAM Murcia - Obradoiro CAB	93:76
01.03.20	Obradoiro CAB - UCAM Murcia	72:83

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