Match Info

Latvian-Estonian League

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Ogres 1. vidusskola (Ogre)


	Ogre		Pärnu

	1	2
			Watch
	1.28	3.3
	1.31	3.09
	1.30	2.96	Watch
	1.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.27)	3.06 ↓ (3.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ogre
70.1%

Pärnu
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.4%

27.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ogre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Pärnu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Ogre - Pärnu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Dargais K. (C)	5. Eelmae H.
1. Davidson K.	1. Harris D.
9. Kampuss G.	22. Hint A.
10. Ndjock-Tadjore J.	14. Ilves G.
33. Sipolins G.	31. Serheyev I.
Substitutes
37. Apsitis K.	2. Aav S.
5. Avotins R.	33. Allik W.
15. Hlebovickis L.	20. Arvidsson J.
8. Kudrjavcevs M.	11. Johansson D.
31. Poluiakhtov V.	16. Lootus K.
7. Shundel A.	10. Ogemuno-Johnson A.
	24. Sonntak K.
Coaches
. Svede U.	. Evart K.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 4.

Ogre may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ogre is a strong favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Ogre won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1144:1047. (average 81.7:74.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ogre won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 654:595. (average 81.8:74.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BK Ogre
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
10.10.25	Keila Basket - Ogre	71:97 ✺
04.10.25	Ogre - VEF Riga	92:94 ✺
30.09.25	Valmiera Glass Via - Ogre	86:65 ✺
Latvian LBL
25.04.25	BK Ventspils - Ogre	91:80 ✺
22.04.25	Ogre - BK Ventspils	98:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLW
- KK Pärnu
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
11.10.25	Latvijas Universitāte - Pärnu	73:97 ✺
08.10.25	Pärnu - Rīgas Zeļļi	76:83 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
01.10.25	Pärnu - Brno	69:81 ✺
24.09.25	Brno - Pärnu	83:75 ✺
Estonian Korvpalli Meistriliiga
29.04.25	Rapla - Pärnu	95:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
26.02.25	Pärnu - Ogre	57:92
17.11.24	Ogre - Pärnu	76:87
09.03.24	Pärnu - Ogre	73:82
20.12.23	Ogre - Pärnu	93:72
12.03.23	Ogre - Pärnu	81:68
15.10.22	Pärnu - Ogre	85:71
10.04.22	Ogre - Pärnu	77:84

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