Match Info

NBA

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma, OK)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Diema Sport
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Sport 2
Mexico	Disney+
Netherlands	ESPN 3
Peru	Disney+
Slovakia	Nova Sport 2, Voyo
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	NBA Global League Pass


	Oklahoma City Thunder		Cleveland Cavaliers

	1	2
	2.6	1.53	Watch
	2.48	1.56
	2.51	1.53	Watch
	2.5	1.53	Watch
	2.62	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.54 ↑ (1.96)	1.54 ↓ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 226.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oklahoma City Thunder
37.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
62.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.2%

51.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oklahoma City Thunder has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Oklahoma City Thunder's form might have worsened.

Cleveland Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Cleveland Cavaliers's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oklahoma City Thunder than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Oklahoma City Thunder, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cleveland Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cleveland Cavaliers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Oklahoma City will win (votes: 15 - 60%). Cleveland will win (votes: 10 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Oklahoma City: 40.8% – 79.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 14 Selected Experts predict this event. Oklahoma City (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Cleveland (votes: 6 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2, OT - Oklahoma City (2.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5, OT - Cleveland (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 226.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Oklahoma City (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Cleveland (votes: 8 - 47.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 111:116

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Dort L.	32. Wade D.
7. Holmgren C.	4. Mobley E.
55. Hartenstein I.	31. Allen J.
11. Joe I.	45. Mitchell D.
22. Wallace C.	1. Harden J.
Substitutes
23. Barnhizer B.	30. Brown D.
14. Boeheim B.	3. Bryant T.
3. McCain J.	14. Ellis K.
44. Topic N.	5. Merrill S.
21. Wiggins A.	22. Nance L.
6. Williams J.	9. Porter C.
34. Williams K.	24. Proctor T.
	8. Schroder D.
	35. Tomlin N.
	20. Tyson J.
Coaches
. Daigneault M.	. Atkinson K.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NBA (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oklahoma City won 4.

In recent matches, Oklahoma City has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cleveland is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Oklahoma City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Oklahoma City: Gilgeous-Alexander S. (Abdominal strain) Mitchell A. (Abdominal strain) Sorber T. (Knee Injury) Williams J. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in Cleveland: Mobley E. (Calf Injury) Strus M. (Foot Injury)

We predict that Cleveland will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oklahoma City won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 2236:2166. (average 111.8:108.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Oklahoma City won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1109:1100. (average 110.9:110).

Outrights of NBA for now

Oklahoma City Thunder: 21.48% Cleveland Cavaliers: 3.23%

Last Results with these Odds

Oklahoma City Thunder - the odds 1.96 are the expected chance of winning is 48.22%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Cleveland Cavaliers - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 51.78%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oklahoma City Thunder
NBA
20.02.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Brooklyn Nets	105:86 ✺
12.02.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Milwaukee Bucks	93:110 ✺
11.02.26	Phoenix Suns - Oklahoma City Thunder	109:136 ✺
09.02.26	Los Angeles Lakers - Oklahoma City Thunder	110:119 ✺
07.02.26	Oklahoma City Thunder - Houston Rockets	106:112 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWWL
- Cleveland Cavaliers
NBA
20.02.26	Charlotte Hornets - Cleveland Cavaliers	113:118 ✺
19.02.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Brooklyn Nets	112:84 ✺
11.02.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Washington Wizards	138:113 ✺
09.02.26	Denver Nuggets - Cleveland Cavaliers	117:119 ✺
07.02.26	Sacramento Kings - Cleveland Cavaliers	126:132 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

NBA
19.01.26	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	104:136
16.01.25	Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers	134:114
08.01.25	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	129:122
08.11.23	Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers	128:120
27.10.23	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	105:108
27.01.23	Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers	112:100
10.12.22	Cleveland Cavaliers - Oklahoma City Thunder	110:102

Oklahoma City Thunder - Cleveland Cavaliers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide