Match Info

NCAA

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Ole Miss Rebels		Mississippi State Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.45
	1.57	2.48
	1.54	2.35	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.45	2.62
	1.58	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.42)	2.49 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 141.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ole Miss Rebels
62.1%

Mississippi State Bulldogs
37.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.6%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ole Miss Rebels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Mississippi State Bulldogs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ole Miss Rebels than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mississippi State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Ole Miss Rebels - Mississippi State Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:69

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ole Miss won 2.

Ole Miss has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Mississippi State's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ole Miss may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Ole Miss has had a series of away games.

Ole Miss will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ole Miss won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1424:1435. (average 71.2:71.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ole Miss won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 752:706. (average 75.2:70.6).

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Mississippi St.: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ole Miss Rebels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	Ole Miss Rebels - Alabama Crimson Tide	74:93 ✺
07.02.26	Texas Longhorns - Ole Miss Rebels	79:68 ✺
03.02.26	Tennessee Volunteers - Ole Miss Rebels	84:66 ✺
31.01.26	Vanderbilt Commodores - Ole Miss Rebels	71:68 ✺
24.01.26	Kentucky Wildcats - Ole Miss Rebels	72:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Mississippi State Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
11.02.26	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Tennessee Volunteers	64:73 ✺
07.02.26	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Arkansas Razorbacks	68:88 ✺
31.01.26	Missouri Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs	84:79 ✺
28.01.26	LSU Tigers - Mississippi State Bulldogs	66:80 ✺
24.01.26	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Vanderbilt Commodores	56:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
17.01.26	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Ole Miss Rebels	67:68
15.02.25	Ole Miss Rebels - Mississippi State Bulldogs	71:81
18.01.25	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Ole Miss Rebels	84:81 OT
21.02.24	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Ole Miss Rebels	83:71
30.01.24	Ole Miss Rebels - Mississippi State Bulldogs	86:82
18.02.23	Ole Miss Rebels - Mississippi State Bulldogs	61:69 OT
07.01.23	Mississippi State Bulldogs - Ole Miss Rebels	64:54

Ole Miss Rebels - Mississippi State Bulldogs