What is the expert prediction for Olimpia Milano vs Bayern München?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Olimpia Milano vs Bayern München. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Olimpia Milano vs Bayern München Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, April 09, 2026)

Match Info

Euroleague - Round 37

Date: 9 April 2026, Thursday

Location: Unipol Forum (Milan)

Referee: Peerandi R. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
World	EuroLeague TV


	Olimpia Milano		Bayern München

	1	2
	1.38	2.77	Watch
	1.38	3.05	Watch
	1.36	3.29
	1.42	3.06	Watch
	1.36	3.1
	1.41	3.06	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.52)	3.06 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Milano
68.8%

Bayern München
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olimpia Milano's performance.

Bayern München has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bayern München might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
55.6%	0%	44.4%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Olimpia Milano will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Bayern München will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olimpia Milano: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Olimpia Milano (votes: 1 - 50%). Bayern München (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. LeDay Z.	1. Da Silva O.
31. Shields S.	11. Lucic V.
32. Nebo J.	32. Gabriel W.
23. Guduric M.	13. Obst A.
3. Ellis Q.	21. Hollatz J.
Substitutes
10. Bolmaro L.	0. Dimitrijevic N.
6. Booker D.	5. Giffey N.
12. Brooks A.	10. Jessup J.
1. Mannion N.	33. McCormack D.
17. Ricci G.	22. Mike I.
77. Sestina N.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
7. Tonut S.	7. Voigtmann J.
Coaches
. Poeta G.	. Pesic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Olimpia Milano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Olimpia Milano is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1580:1563. (average 79:78.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia Milano won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 820:737. (average 82:73.7).

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Standings

Main

		Pl	W	L
13	Bayern	38	17	21	3063:3168
14	Olimpia Milano	38	17	21	3246:3294

Last Results with these Odds

Olimpia Milano - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 62%, but this team recently wins 69% of matches with these odds.

Bayern München - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 38%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Milano
Euroleague
07.04.26	Valencia - Olimpia Milano	102:96 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.04.26	Olimpia Milano - Reggiana	80:76 ✺
Euroleague
02.04.26	Paris - Olimpia Milano	103:93 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
29.03.26	Udine - Olimpia Milano	86:83 ✺
Euroleague
26.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	103:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLLW
- Bayern München Basketball
Euroleague
07.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Bayern München	80:85 ✺
German BBL
04.04.26	Mitteldeutscher - Bayern München	91:79 ✺
Euroleague
01.04.26	Bayern München - Fenerbahçe	85:76 ✺
German BBL
29.03.26	BCJ Hamburg - Bayern München	96:81 ✺
Euroleague
26.03.26	Bayern München - ASVEL Basket	93:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
14.10.25	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	64:53
04.02.25	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	87:70
20.12.24	Olimpia Milano - Bayern München	78:79
05.01.24	Olimpia Milano - Bayern München	76:62
05.12.23	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	91:84 OT
24.03.23	Olimpia Milano - Bayern München	99:74
20.10.22	Bayern München - Olimpia Milano	81:83

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