The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Virtus Bologna 54.6%
Bayern München 45.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56%
44%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.1%
36.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+8.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern München, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.4%
0%
70.6%
Virtus Bologna - Bayern München Predictions
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Bayern München will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern München: 48.9% – 92.3%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern München will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Diarra A.
21. Hollatz J.
3. Edwards C.
11. Lucic V.
23. Hackett D.
33. McCormack D.
34. Jallow K.
22. Mike I.
7. Niang S.
13. Obst A.
Substitutes
45. Akele N.
1. Da Silva O.
21. Alston Jr. D.
0. Dimitrijevic N.
2. Baiocchi M.
32. Gabriel W.
35. Diouf M.
5. Giffey N.
24. Ferrari F.
10. Jessup J.
30. Morgan M.
4. Rathan-Mayes X.
9. Smailagic A.
7. Voigtmann J.
Coaches
. Jakovljevic N.
. Pesic S.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 3.
Virtus Bologna has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bayern München's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bayern München may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 776:827. (average 77.6:82.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 325:322. (average 81.3:80.5).