What is the expert prediction for Virtus Bologna vs Bayern München?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Virtus Bologna vs Bayern München. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Virtus Bologna vs Bayern München Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Tuesday, April 07, 2026)

Match Info

Euroleague - Round 36

Date: 7 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Segafredo Arena (Bologna)

Where to Watch on TV:


Europe	Go3 Baltic Euroleague
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Israel	Sport 5
Russia	Okko Sport
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Virtus Bologna		Bayern München

	1	2
	1.67	2.05	Watch
	1.78	2.05
	1.72	2.12
	1.75	2.14
	1.8	2.1	Watch
	1.75	2.1
	1.75	2.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.71)	2.1 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 168.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virtus Bologna
54.6%

Bayern München
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virtus Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Bayern München has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virtus Bologna than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virtus Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayern München than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bayern München, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	0%	70.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Virtus Bologna will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Bayern München will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern München: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bayern München will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Diarra A.	21. Hollatz J.
3. Edwards C.	11. Lucic V.
23. Hackett D.	33. McCormack D.
34. Jallow K.	22. Mike I.
7. Niang S.	13. Obst A.
Substitutes
45. Akele N.	1. Da Silva O.
21. Alston Jr. D.	0. Dimitrijevic N.
2. Baiocchi M.	32. Gabriel W.
35. Diouf M.	5. Giffey N.
24. Ferrari F.	10. Jessup J.
30. Morgan M.	4. Rathan-Mayes X.
9. Smailagic A.	7. Voigtmann J.
Coaches
. Jakovljevic N.	. Pesic S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 3.

Virtus Bologna has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bayern München's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bayern München may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Virtus Bologna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 776:827. (average 77.6:82.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Virtus Bologna won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 325:322. (average 81.3:80.5).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virtus Bologna
Italian Lega A Basketball
05.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Venezia	82:86 ✺
Euroleague
03.04.26	Virtus Bologna - Valencia	81:94 ✺
31.03.26	Virtus Bologna - Paris	82:103 ✺
26.03.26	Olimpia Milano - Virtus Bologna	103:87 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
22.03.26	Reggiana - Virtus Bologna	84:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bayern München Basketball
German BBL
04.04.26	Mitteldeutscher - Bayern München	91:79 ✺
Euroleague
01.04.26	Bayern München - Fenerbahçe	85:76 ✺
German BBL
29.03.26	BCJ Hamburg - Bayern München	96:81 ✺
Euroleague
26.03.26	Bayern München - ASVEL Basket	93:83 ✺
24.03.26	Žalgiris Kaunas - Bayern München	78:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.10.25	Bayern München - Virtus Bologna	86:70
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Virtus Bologna - Bayern München	90:89
Euroleague
17.01.25	Bayern München - Virtus Bologna	72:82
29.10.24	Virtus Bologna - Bayern München	84:87
03.01.24	Virtus Bologna - Bayern München	85:83
30.11.23	Bayern München - Virtus Bologna	90:76
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.23	Bayern München - Virtus Bologna	76:73

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