Match Info

Euroleague - Round 15

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Unipol Forum (Milan)

Referee: Bittner S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Russia	Okko Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Olimpia Milano		Panathinaikos

	1	2
	2.2	1.71	Watch
	2.25	1.65
	2.24	1.68
	2.17	1.75	Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.16	1.75	Watch
	2.2	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.33)	1.7 ↑ (1.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Olimpia Milano
43.8%

Panathinaikos
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Olimpia Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olimpia Milano than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	0%	70%

Olimpia Milano - Panathinaikos Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Olimpia Milano will win (votes: 6 - 30%). Panathinaikos will win (votes: 14 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panathinaikos: 49.9% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 169.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panathinaikos will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
10. Bolmaro L.	35. Faried K.
6. Booker D.	22. Grant J.
3. Ellis Q.	41. Hernangomez J.
16. LeDay Z.	25. Nunn K.
31. Shields S.	0. Shorts T.
Substitutes
12. Brooks A.	40. Grigonis M.
5. Ceccato M.	44. Mitoglou K.
42. Dunston B.	17. Rogkavopoulos N.
23. Guduric M.	20. Samodurov A.
32. Nebo J.	10. Sloukas K.
17. Ricci G.	27. Toliopoulos V.
	77. Yurtseven O. F.
Coaches
. Poeta G.	. Ataman E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 2.

Olimpia Milano has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Panathinaikos is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Recently, Panathinaikos has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Olimpia Milano won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1544:1601. (average 77.2:80.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Olimpia Milano won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 797:789. (average 79.7:78.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Olimpia Milano
Italian Lega A Basketball
07.12.25	Olimpia Milano - Basket Trento	94:90 ✺
Euroleague
05.12.25	Baskonia - Olimpia Milano	88:78 ✺
26.11.25	Maccabi Tel Aviv - Olimpia Milano	88:102 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
23.11.25	Trieste - Olimpia Milano	86:82 ✺
Euroleague
20.11.25	Olimpia Milano - Hapoel Tel Aviv	83:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWLL
- Panathinaikos BC
Greek Basket League A1
07.12.25	Panathinaikos - Panionios	110:66 ✺
Euroleague
05.12.25	Panathinaikos - Valencia	79:89 ✺
25.11.25	Panathinaikos - Partizan Belgrade	91:69 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
22.11.25	Mykonos - Panathinaikos	65:78 ✺
Euroleague
20.11.25	Panathinaikos - Dubai	103:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
30.01.25	Olimpia Milano - Panathinaikos	87:75
17.12.24	Panathinaikos - Olimpia Milano	103:74
31.01.24	Panathinaikos - Olimpia Milano	79:62
22.12.23	Olimpia Milano - Panathinaikos	68:76
23.02.23	Olimpia Milano - Panathinaikos	78:76
08.12.22	Panathinaikos - Olimpia Milano	90:77 OT (72:72)
Club Friendly Basketball
24.09.22	Panathinaikos - Olimpia Milano	64:77

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