Match Info

Euroleague - Round 11

Date: 13 November 2025, Thursday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Pastusiak P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3, Oneplay Sport 4
France	SKWeek App
Germany	Magenta Sport
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	Movistar Plus+
Turkey	S Sport+
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
World	EuroLeague TV


	Real Madrid		Panathinaikos

	1	2
	1.48	2.75	Watch
	1.46	2.8	Watch
	1.48	2.85
	1.43	2.77	Watch
	1.48	2.77	Watch
	1.37	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 (1.45)	2.82 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
66%

Panathinaikos
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Panathinaikos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panathinaikos than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	3.6%	10.7%

Real Madrid - Panathinaikos Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 165.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Madrid will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Madrid will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Deck G.	17. Rogkavopoulos N.
0. Lyles T.	41. Hernangomez J.
22. Tavares E.	35. Faried K.
24. Feliz A.	0. Shorts T.
7. Campazzo F.	25. Nunn K.
Substitutes
6. Abalde A.	22. Grant J.
16. Garuba U.	40. Grigonis M.
11. Hezonja M.	5. Kalaitzakis P.
25. Len A.	44. Mitoglou K.
23. Llull S.	6. Osman C.
12. Maledon T.	20. Samodurov A.
8. Okeke C.	10. Sloukas K.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Ataman E.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 2.

Real Madrid is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Panathinaikos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Real Madrid may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Madrid is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 16 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1675:1555. (average 83.8:77.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1011:914. (average 84.3:76.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 64.46%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
11.11.25	Valencia - Real Madrid	89:76 ✺
Spanish ACB League
09.11.25	Joventut Badalona - Real Madrid	75:80 ✺
Euroleague
07.11.25	Barcelona - Real Madrid	92:101 ✺
Spanish ACB League
02.11.25	Basket Zaragoza - Real Madrid	83:95 ✺
Euroleague
30.10.25	Real Madrid - Fenerbahçe	84:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW
- Panathinaikos BC
Euroleague
11.11.25	Paris - Panathinaikos	95:101 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
08.11.25	Peristeri BC - Panathinaikos	72:89 ✺
Euroleague
05.11.25	Crvena Zvezda - Panathinaikos	86:68 ✺
31.10.25	AS Monaco Basket - Panathinaikos	92:84 ✺
28.10.25	Panathinaikos - Maccabi Tel Aviv	99:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Euroleague
06.03.25	Panathinaikos - Real Madrid	85:70
17.10.24	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	90:86
26.05.24	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	80:95
29.02.24	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	86:97
07.12.23	Panathinaikos - Real Madrid	78:90
01.02.23	Real Madrid - Panathinaikos	83:68
06.10.22	Panathinaikos - Real Madrid	68:71

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