Match Info

Date: 6 March 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Orlandina Basket		Pistoia Basket

	1	2
	2.35	1.53
	2.43	1.45
	2.34	1.61
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.59	1.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (3.04)	1.53 ↑ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orlandina Basket
38.9%

Pistoia Basket
61.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orlandina Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Orlandina Basket's performance.

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoia Basket might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orlandina Basket than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Orlandina Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+9.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoia Basket could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Orlandina Basket - Pistoia Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:80

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Orlandina Basket won 1.

Orlandina Basket is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pistoia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pistoia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pistoia will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Orlandina Basket won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 605-721.

Including matches at home between the teams Orlandina Basket won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 265-276.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orlandina Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
20.02.22	Udine - Orlandina Basket	80:71 ✺
16.02.22	Orlandina Basket - Cantù	93:104 OT (89:89) ✺
13.02.22	Orlandina Basket - Basket Treviglio	43:51 ✺
06.02.22	Basket Torino - Orlandina Basket	88:87 ✺
30.01.22	Orlandina Basket - Angelico Biella	95:91 OT (73:73) ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
02.03.22	Pistoia Basket - Angelico Biella	89:84 ✺
19.02.22	Urania Milano - Pistoia Basket	69:73 ✺
16.02.22	Pistoia Basket - Junior Casale	78:71 ✺
13.02.22	Pistoia Basket - Udine	65:70 ✺
05.02.22	Assigeco Piacenza - Pistoia Basket	63:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
22.12.21	Pistoia Basket - Orlandina Basket	82:64
Italian Lega A Basketball
21.01.18	Pistoia Basket - Orlandina Basket	91:69
05.10.17	Orlandina Basket - Pistoia Basket	57:73
09.04.17	Pistoia Basket - Orlandina Basket	75:59
11.12.16	Orlandina Basket - Pistoia Basket	79:64
04.05.16	Orlandina Basket - Pistoia Basket	58:65
03.01.16	Pistoia Basket - Orlandina Basket	103:75

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
01.11.26	Pistoia Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	✺

Orlandina Basket - Pistoia Basket