Match Info

Serie A2 - Round 11

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Allianz Cloud (Milan)


	Urania Milano		Pistoia Basket

	1	2
	1.71	2	Watch
			Watch
	1.8	1.88
	1.83	1.99
	1.74	1.91	Watch
			Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 (1.77)	1.94 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Urania Milano
52.3%

Pistoia Basket
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.1%

47.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Urania Milano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Pistoia Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Urania Milano than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoia Basket than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Urania Milano - Pistoia Basket Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Cavallero M.	8. Alessandrini N.
5. Gentile A.	22. Johnson J.
36. Morgillo A.	13. Knight S.
43. Sabatini G.	15. Saccaggi L.
1. Taylor K.	41. Zanotti S.
Substitutes
24. Abega L.	12. Campogrande L.
14. Calvio G.	9. Dellosto N.
13. D’Almeida U.	5. Gallo F.
25. Lasagni P.	18. Magro D.
18. Lomartire G.	6. Stoch F.
7. Lupusor I.
11. Rashed M.
Coaches
. Cardani M.	. Della Rosa T.

Preview

Both teams are currently in poor form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Urania Milano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 150:163. (average 75:81.5).

Including home match between the teams, Urania Milano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 69:73.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Urania Milano
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
09.11.25	Forlì - Urania Milano	80:70 ✺
01.11.25	Urania Milano - Verona	79:73 ✺
29.10.25	Libertas Livorno - Urania Milano	98:60 ✺
24.10.25	Basket Torino - Urania Milano	70:67 ✺
18.10.25	Urania Milano - Brindisi	79:80 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLL
- Pistoia Basket 2000
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
09.11.25	Pistoia Basket - Mestre	74:89 ✺
02.11.25	Pistoia Basket - Fortitudo Bologna	76:81 ✺
29.10.25	Basket Pesaro - Pistoia Basket	82:73 ✺
26.10.25	Pistoia Basket - Juvi Cremona	89:91 ✺
19.10.25	Rieti - Pistoia Basket	73:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
19.02.22	Urania Milano - Pistoia Basket	69:73
14.11.21	Pistoia Basket - Urania Milano	90:81 OT (78:78)

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