The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Orman Gençlikspor 53.8%
Afyonkarahisar Belediyespor 46.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
58.9%
41.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
59.4%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Orman Gençlikspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orman Gençlikspor's form might have worsened.
Afyonkarahisar Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Afyonkarahisar Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orman Gençlikspor than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orman Gençlikspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Afyonkarahisar Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Afyonkarahisar Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
13.9%
0%
86.1%
Orman Gençlikspor - Afyonkarahisar Belediyespor Predictions
Users Predictions:
36 users predict this event. Orman Gençlikspor will win (votes: 5 - 13.9%). Afyonkarahisar Bld will win (votes: 31 - 86.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Afyonkarahisar Bld: 74.8% – 97.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81
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Preview
No spectators.
Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion to Super Ligi (Play Offs)).
Orman Gençlikspor is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Afyonkarahisar Belediyespor is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Orman Gençlikspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Orman Gençlikspor won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 226-228.
Including matches at home between the teams Orman Gençlikspor won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 157-163.
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