Match Info

ITALY: SERIE A2 - ROUND 12

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Orzi Basket		Trieste

	1	2
	2.9	1.34
	2.85	1.34	Watch
	3.04	1.39
	3.04	1.4
	2.62	1.44
	3.02	1.34	Watch
	2.8	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.9 ↑ (2.54)	1.38 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Orzi Basket
32.2%

Trieste
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

62.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

58.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Orzi Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Orzi Basket's form might have worsened.

Trieste has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Trieste's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orzi Basket than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Orzi Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trieste than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Trieste, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Orzi Basket - Trieste Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:79

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Preview

Orzi Basket is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Trieste in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Trieste will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Trieste to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Orzi Basket won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 212-263.

Including matches at home between the teams Orzi Basket won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 73-78.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Orzi Basket
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.11.23	Assigeco Piacenza - Orzi Basket	57:54 ✺
19.11.23	Orzi Basket - Baltur Cento	56:67 ✺
11.11.23	Udine - Orzi Basket	82:61 ✺
05.11.23	Orzi Basket - Chiusi	76:71 ✺
01.11.23	Pallacanestro Nardò - Orzi Basket	90:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Pallacanestro Trieste 2004
Italian Serie A2 Basketball
26.11.23	Trieste - Forlì	79:62 ✺
19.11.23	Rimini - Trieste	62:81 ✺
12.11.23	Trieste - Cividale	86:79 ✺
05.11.23	Trieste - Udine	57:54 ✺
01.11.23	Assigeco Piacenza - Trieste	84:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A2 Basketball
04.10.23	Trieste - Orzi Basket	80:75
Italian Serie A2 East Basketball
14.01.18	Trieste - Orzi Basket	105:64
02.10.17	Orzi Basket - Trieste	73:78

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