Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 18

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Ourense		Baloncesto Fuenlabrada

	1	2
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.73	1.92	Watch
	1.84	1.98
	1.76	1.93	Watch
	1.73	1.95
	1.75	1.94	Watch
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	1.95 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense
52.6%

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
47.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Baloncesto Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baloncesto Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Ourense - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gill R.	0. Aurrecoechea I.
22. Kalscheur G.	8. Benite V.
28. Lisboa R.	88. Kasibabu J.
24. McDonnel S.	11. Manchon D.
3. Smith K.	32. Renfroe A.
Substitutes
12. Huguet S.	35. Belemene-Dzabatou R.
27. Iglesias M.	22. De Bisschop B.
9. Okanu K.	7. Diaz M.
23. Saraiva D.	30. Rigot P.
10. Vazquez I.	21. Stolbetskiy D.
	3. Vazquez A.

Preview

Ourense has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fuenlabrada is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Fuenlabrada may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Fuenlabrada has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ourense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 297:324. (average 74.3:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Ourense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 157:167. (average 78.5:83.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Ourense	2	2	0	181:157	4
16	Fuenlabrada	2	0	2	150:175	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
24.01.26	Ourense - Estudiantes	71:90 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
16.01.26	Palencia - Ourense	83:77 ✺
10.01.26	Ourense - Obradoiro CAB	96:93 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.26	Logroño - Ourense	64:72 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Estudiantes - Ourense	92:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWL
- Baloncesto Fuenlabrada
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
24.01.26	Palencia - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	69:57 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
18.01.26	Palmer Basket - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	79:88 OT ✺
11.01.26	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Zamora	79:61 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
07.01.26	Morón - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	78:83 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
04.01.26	Cartagena - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	75:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
06.04.25	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Ourense	81:74
11.01.25	Ourense - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	89:90 OT
29.03.24	Baloncesto Fuenlabrada - Ourense	76:66
04.11.23	Ourense - Baloncesto Fuenlabrada	68:77

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