Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 7

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday


	Ourense		Cartagena

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.3	3.05	Watch
	1.32	3.32
	1.33	2.83	Watch
	1.34	2.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.33)	3.09 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense
70.1%

Cartagena
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

30%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Ourense - Cartagena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gill R.	13. Faverani V.
22. Kalscheur G.	2. Garuba S.
28. Lisboa R.	23. Kelly A.
24. McDonnel S.	5. Martin A.
3. Smith K.	20. Svejcar S.
Substitutes
11. Fernandez M.	12. Domenech A.
12. Huguet S.	19. Harguindey A.
27. Iglesias M.	11. Idehen E. R.
41. Jurgens C.	4. Rivera I.
9. Okanu K.	8. Rodriguez M.
23. Saraiva D.	3. Suokas T.
10. Vazquez I.

Preview

Ourense is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cartagena's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ourense is the team to beat.

We predict that Ourense will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ourense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 271:242. (average 90.3:80.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ourense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 191:150. (average 95.5:75).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
01.11.25	Ourense - Menorca	84:80 ✺
25.10.25	Estela - Ourense	87:65 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
21.10.25	Ourense - Cartagena	90:77 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.10.25	Zamora - Ourense	84:94 ✺
04.10.25	Ourense - Palmer Basket	82:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWWW
- FC Cartagena CB
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
01.11.25	Cartagena - Estudiantes	68:95 ✺
25.10.25	Menorca - Cartagena	97:61 ✺
Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
21.10.25	Ourense - Cartagena	90:77 ✺
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
17.10.25	Gipuzkoa Basket - Cartagena	75:69 ✺
11.10.25	Cartagena - Oviedo	82:78 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa Espana Basketball
21.10.25	Ourense - Cartagena	90:77
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
16.02.25	Cartagena - Ourense	92:80
28.09.24	Ourense - Cartagena	101:73

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