Match Info

Date: 18 May 2021, Tuesday


	Ourense		Real Murcia

	1	2
	1.7	2.05
	1.65	2.1
	1.61	2.09
	1.64	2.18
	1.67	2.1
	1.64	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.5)	2.12 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 148.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense
56.2%

Real Murcia
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ourense's form might have worsened.

Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Real Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ourense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Real Murcia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ourense - Real Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:73

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Preview

Recent matches Ourense is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Real Murcia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Real Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Real Murcia have a series of home games.

Ourense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ourense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 69-81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
16.05.21	Ourense - Real Canoe	88:74 ✺
12.05.21	Força Lleida CE - Ourense	74:76 ✺
09.05.21	Peñas Huesca - Ourense	103:64 ✺
05.05.21	Ourense - Peñas Huesca	65:91 ✺
18.04.21	Ourense - Girona	73:71 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW
- Real Murcia Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
16.05.21	Burgos - Real Murcia	75:88 ✺
24.04.21	Real Murcia - Cáceres CB	80:64 ✺
17.04.21	Melilla - Real Murcia	61:67 ✺
10.04.21	Real Murcia - Burgos	102:71 ✺
31.03.21	Real Murcia - Melilla	65:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
27.03.21	Real Murcia - Ourense	81:69

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