Match Info

Primera FEB - Round 27

Date: 28 March 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	LaLiga+


	Ourense		Zamora

	1	2
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.36	3.13
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.33	3
	1.37	2.84	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↑ (1.3)	3.02 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense
69.3%

Zamora
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.8%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.6%

36.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Zamora has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ourense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zamora than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zamora could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ourense - Zamora Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Gill R.	14. Kristensen D.
22. Kalscheur G.	15. Lo Kabir O.
28. Lisboa R.	13. Martinez A.
24. McDonnel S.	17. Naspler T.
7. Vrabac A.	2. Roberts T.
Substitutes
11. Fernandez M.	9. Peris J.
12. Huguet S.	3. Rogers C.
27. Iglesias M.	4. Round J.
41. Jurgens C.	34. Thrastarson S.
9. Okanu K.	21. van Zegeren J.
23. Saraiva D.
10. Vazquez I.

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Ourense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ourense has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ourense is the team to beat.

We predict that Ourense will win today's game, with odds of 1.3.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ourense won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 387:358. (average 77.4:71.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Ourense won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 155:125. (average 77.5:62.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
4	Ourense	2	2	0	181:157	4
15	Zamora	2	0	2	130:152	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense Baloncesto
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
14.03.26	Ourense - Burgos	79:77 ✺
11.03.26	Ourense - Básquet Coruña	59:74 ✺
07.03.26	Gipuzkoa Basket - Ourense	81:79 ✺
21.02.26	Ourense - Fibwi Palma	81:69 ✺
14.02.26	Ourense - Estudiantes	103:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLWW
- CB Zamora
Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
21.03.26	Zamora - Menorca	72:67 ✺
10.03.26	Zamora - Estudiantes	75:86 ✺
06.03.26	Palencia - Zamora	77:66 ✺
21.02.26	Zamora - Gipuzkoa Basket	70:101 ✺
15.02.26	Burgos - Zamora	93:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera FEB Basketball
11.10.25	Zamora - Ourense	84:94
08.02.25	Zamora - Ourense	90:84
11.12.24	Ourense - Zamora	79:73
Spanish Segunda FEB Basketball
05.03.22	Zamora - Ourense	59:54
20.11.21	Ourense - Zamora	76:52

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