Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Parnu Spordihall (Parnu)


	Pärnu		Porto

	1	2
			Watch
	3.25	1.28
	3.15	1.33
	3.15	1.33
	3.16	1.37
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.18	1.33	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.21 ↑ (2.5)	1.32 ↓ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu
29.1%

Porto
70.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

58.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pärnu's form might have worsened.

Porto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Porto's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pärnu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Porto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pärnu - Porto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:82

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Preview

Recent matches Pärnu is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Porto is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Porto will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KK Pärnu
Estonian–Latvian Basketball League
07.10.22	Keila - Pärnu	90:92 ✺
01.10.22	Pärnu - Viimsi	87:86 ✺
Champions League Basketball
21.09.22	Swans Gmunden - Pärnu	82:80 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.22	Lietkabelis - Pärnu	90:73 ✺
09.09.22	Neptūnas - Pärnu	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 WWLLL
- FC Porto Basketball
Portuguese LPB
08.10.22	Imortal - Porto	58:82 ✺
01.10.22	Alianca Sangalhos - Porto	71:78 ✺
24.09.22	Porto - Madeira	88:62 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.22	Estudiantes - Porto	94:89 ✺
14.09.22	Ovarense - Porto	60:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WWWLW

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