Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - WINNERS STAGE - FINAL

Date: 16 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: P.A.O.K. Sports Arena (Thessaloniki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2, Voyo


	PAOK		Tofaş

	1	2
	2.3	1.56	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.24	1.59	Watch
	2.3	1.66
	2.1	1.67
	2.28	1.62	Watch
	2.28	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.65)	1.6 ↓ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PAOK
41.5%

Tofaş
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.8%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PAOK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PAOK's form might have worsened.

Tofaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tofaş's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PAOK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tofaş than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tofaş, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

PAOK - Tofaş Predictions

Users Predictions: PAOK will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:81

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Preview

3rd leg. Series tied 1-1.

PAOK is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tofaş is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tofaş will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches PAOK won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 151-182.

Including matches at home between the teams PAOK won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 63-95.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PAOK Thessaloniki BC
Greek Basket League A1
13.01.24	Peristeri BC - PAOK	71:35 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.01.24	Tofaş - PAOK	87:88 OT ✺
Greek Basket League A1
06.01.24	PAOK - Maroussi Athens	79:85 ✺
Champions League Basketball
02.01.24	PAOK - Tofaş	63:95 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
30.12.23	Promitheas Patras - PAOK	80:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWLLL
- Tofas S.K.
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
13.01.24	Samsunspor - Tofaş	87:86 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.01.24	Tofaş - PAOK	87:88 OT ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
06.01.24	Galatasaray - Tofaş	95:76 ✺
Champions League Basketball
02.01.24	PAOK - Tofaş	63:95 ✺
Turkish Basketball Super Ligi
29.12.23	Tofaş - Bahcesehir Koleji	88:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
09.01.24	Tofaş - PAOK	87:88 OT
02.01.24	PAOK - Tofaş	63:95

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