Match Info

LBP - Apertura

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ivan de Bedout (Medellín)


	Paisas de Medellín		Motilones del Norte

	1	2
	1.34	2.92	Watch
	1.36	2.8
	1.35	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↑ (1.34)	2.84 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paisas de Medellín
67.8%

Motilones del Norte
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.5%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paisas de Medellín has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Motilones del Norte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paisas de Medellín than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motilones del Norte than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Bailey D.	3. Ayarza J.
12. Hunt S.	1. Cabeza W.
8. Lozano Toro J. D.	6. de Luque S.
4. Ojeda D.	5. McConico Q.
50. Weathers M.	2. Williams E.
Substitutes
88. Benitez L.	9. De Luque J.
11. Galeano L.	26. Martinez K.
3. Miles M.	25. Venner D.
21. Millan A.	15. Villaba E.
10. Mosquera E.	23. Viveros S.
14. Rios J.
7. Sanabria S.
Coaches
. Pinzon R.	. Avila G.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paisas won 5.

Paisas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Motilones del Norte has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Motilones del Norte has had a series of home games.

In this match, Paisas is a strong favorite.

We predict that Paisas will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Paisas won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1203:976. (average 85.9:69.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Paisas won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 625:527. (average 89.3:75.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paisas de Medellín
Colombian LBP Basketball
24.04.26	Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte	91:86 OT ✺
19.04.26	Paisas de Medellín - Toros del Valle	76:84 ✺
18.04.26	Paisas de Medellín - Toros del Valle	92:80 ✺
15.04.26	Sabios de Manizales - Paisas de Medellín	68:73 ✺
14.04.26	Sabios de Manizales - Paisas de Medellín	68:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWWW
- Motilones del Norte
Colombian LBP Basketball
24.04.26	Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte	91:86 OT ✺
21.04.26	Motilones del Norte - Caimanes del Llano	103:100 ✺
20.04.26	Motilones del Norte - Caimanes del Llano	86:89 ✺
17.04.26	Motilones del Norte - Piratas de Bogotá	72:77 ✺
16.04.26	Motilones del Norte - Piratas de Bogotá	74:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian LBP Basketball
24.04.26	Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte	91:86 OT
22.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Paisas de Medellín	35:97
20.11.25	Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte	97:38
19.11.25	Paisas de Medellín - Motilones del Norte	107:84
08.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Paisas de Medellín	48:89
07.11.25	Motilones del Norte - Paisas de Medellín	78:123
15.06.25	Motilones del Norte - Paisas de Medellín	67:79

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