Match Info

Basket League - Round 10

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: DAK Glyfada M. Liugas (Glyfada)


	Panionios		Promitheas Patras

	1	2
			Watch
	1.86	1.86	Watch
	1.93	1.88
	1.99	1.78	Watch
	1.96	1.89	Watch
	1.83	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.68)	1.85 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panionios
49.1%

Promitheas Patras
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

44.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panionios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Panionios's form might have worsened.

Promitheas Patras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Promitheas Patras's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Panionios than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Panionios, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Promitheas Patras than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Promitheas Patras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.7%	0%	26.3%

Panionios - Promitheas Patras Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Panionios will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Promitheas will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panionios: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Panionios (votes: 7 - 70%). Promitheas (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5, OT - Promitheas (2.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Panionios (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Promitheas (votes: 4 - 36.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
34. Kreuser J.	32. Gray R.
1. Lemon S.	2. Hammonds L.
11. Lewis M.	55. Macura J. P.
2. Starks M.	10. McCullum K.
0. Watson N.	44. Paulicap P.
Substitutes
88. Gkikas N. (C)	7. Bazinas N. (C)
25. Gontikas K.	0. Harris C.
40. Hands J.	8. Kapetakis E.
9. Oikonomopoulos S.	29. Karagiannidis A.
3. Papas G.	12. Lagios A.
41. Patrikis A.	5. Plotas N.
7. Tsalmpouris G.	77. Stavrakopoulos S.
Coaches
. Zouros I.	. Segura C.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation ~ Elite League and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Basket League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 2.

Panionios has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Promitheas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Panionios may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Panionios won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 569:695. (average 63.2:77.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Panionios won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 233:262. (average 58.3:65.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Panionios BC
Eurocup
09.12.25	Niners Chemnitz - Panionios	73:68 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
07.12.25	Panathinaikos - Panionios	110:66 ✺
Eurocup
05.12.25	Beşiktaş - Panionios	101:83 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
22.11.25	Panionios - Karditsas	107:105 OT ✺
Eurocup
19.11.25	Panionios - Lietkabelis	72:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL
- ASP Promitheas Patras
Greek Basket League A1
06.12.25	Promitheas Patras - Mykonos	103:83 ✺
22.11.25	Aris - Promitheas Patras	96:80 ✺
Champions League Basketball
18.11.25	Heidelberg - Promitheas Patras	82:62 ✺
Greek Basket League A1
16.11.25	Promitheas Patras - Olympiacos Piraeus	64:88 ✺
09.11.25	Kolossos Rodou - Promitheas Patras	81:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Basket League A1
16.03.25	Panionios - Promitheas Patras	93:101 OT
21.12.24	Promitheas Patras - Panionios	85:87
Greek Cup Basketball
16.02.24	Promitheas Patras - Panionios	88:48
Greek Basket League A1
14.03.20	Panionios - Promitheas Patras	Canceled
23.11.19	Promitheas Patras - Panionios	87:76
20.04.19	Promitheas Patras - Panionios	104:67
05.01.19	Panionios - Promitheas Patras	60:74

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