Match Info

Elite League - Round 23

Date: 21 February 2026, Saturday


	Papagou		Doxa Lefkadas

	1	2
	1.7	1.96
	1.75	1.91
	1.71	1.99	Watch
	1.73	2
	1.69	2.02
	1.76	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↓ (2.15)	1.96 ↑ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Papagou
53.3%

Doxa Lefkadas
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

57%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Papagou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Papagou's performance.

Doxa Lefkadas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Doxa Lefkadas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Papagou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Doxa Lefkadas than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Doxa Lefkadas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Papagou - Doxa Lefkadas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:71

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Papagou won 4.

Papagou has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Doxa Lefkadas is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Papagou won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 562:512. (average 80.3:73.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Papagou won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 227:198. (average 75.7:66).

Outrights of Greek Elite League Basketball for now

Papagou: 1.29%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
14	Papagou	1	0	1	92:111	1

Last Results with these Odds

Doxa Lefkadas - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.03%, but this team recently wins 78% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
16.02.26	Koroivos - Papagou	71:84 ✺
11.02.26	Papagou - Niki Volos	89:79 ✺
07.02.26	Panerythraikos - Papagou	72:77 ✺
31.01.26	Papagou - Lavrio	77:75 ✺
24.01.26	Papagou - Peiramatiko Machites	93:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.3 WWWWW
- Doxa Lefkadas BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
15.02.26	Doxa Lefkadas - Aigaleo	77:71 ✺
12.02.26	Proteas Voulas - Doxa Lefkadas	73:67 ✺
09.02.26	Doxa Lefkadas - Vikos	88:81 ✺
24.01.26	Doxa Lefkadas - Chalkida	76:71 ✺
17.01.26	Sofadon - Doxa Lefkadas	61:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
15.02.25	Papagou - Doxa Lefkadas	79:73
09.11.24	Doxa Lefkadas - Papagou	69:84
13.04.24	Doxa Lefkadas - Papagou	72:92
24.02.24	Papagou - Doxa Lefkadas	70:67
18.11.23	Doxa Lefkadas - Papagou	83:72
12.05.18	Doxa Lefkadas - Papagou	90:87
27.01.18	Papagou - Doxa Lefkadas	78:58

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