Match Info

Elite League - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Papagou		Ermis Schimatari

	1	2
	1.42	2.6
	1.33	2.9
			Watch
	1.37	2.91
	1.33	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.58)	2.83 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 155.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Papagou
67.5%

Ermis Schimatari
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Papagou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Papagou's performance.

Ermis Schimatari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ermis Schimatari might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Papagou that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermis Schimatari than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ermis Schimatari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Papagou - Ermis Schimatari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 81:75

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Preview

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Papagou will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Papagou to win the game is with odds 1.38.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Papagou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 310:318 (average 77.5:79.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Papagou won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 90:66

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
22.03.25	Esperos Kallitheas - Papagou	70:78 ✺
19.03.25	Papagou - HANTH	82:61 ✺
15.03.25	Papagou - Vikos	74:81 ✺
08.03.25	Megaridas - Papagou	84:88 ✺
01.03.25	Papagou - Eleftheroupoli Kavalas	87:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWLWL
- Ermis Schimatari
Greek Elite League Basketball
22.03.25	Ermis Schimatari - Megaridas	74:90 ✺
19.03.25	Eleftheroupoli Kavalas - Ermis Schimatari	65:83 ✺
15.03.25	Ermis Schimatari - Mykonos	82:84 ✺
08.03.25	Doxa Lefkadas - Ermis Schimatari	81:64 ✺
01.03.25	Ermis Schimatari - Proteas Voulas	84:69 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
18.12.24	Ermis Schimatari - Papagou	73:68
23.03.24	Papagou - Ermis Schimatari	90:66
16.12.23	Ermis Schimatari - Papagou	83:75
11.02.23	Ermis Schimatari - Papagou	96:77

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