Match Info

Elite League - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 1 May 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Greece	ERT 2


	Megaridas		Papagou

	1	2
	1.44	2.48
	1.4	2.74
	1.45	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.45	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↑ (1.39)	2.56 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Megaridas
63.9%

Papagou
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Megaridas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Papagou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Megaridas than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Megaridas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Papagou than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Papagou could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Megaridas - Papagou Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Megaridas won 4.

Megaridas is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Papagou is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Megaridas is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Megaridas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 660:636. (average 82.5:79.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Megaridas won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 347:329. (average 86.8:82.3).

Outrights of Greek Elite League Basketball for now

NE Megaridas: 4.24% Papagou: 1.27%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	NE Megaridas	2	1	1	138:124	3
13	Papagou	2	0	2	163:185	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- NE Megaridas
Greek Elite League Basketball
15.04.26	Koroivos - Megaridas	61:83 ✺
08.04.26	Megaridas - Koroivos	91:89 ✺
04.04.26	Megaridas - Koroivos	88:83 ✺
28.03.26	Niki Volos - Megaridas	70:78 ✺
21.03.26	Megaridas - Panerythraikos	104:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- Papagou BC
Greek Elite League Basketball
15.04.26	Chalkida - Papagou	71:81 ✺
08.04.26	Papagou - Chalkida	83:63 ✺
04.04.26	Vikos - Papagou	72:79 ✺
22.03.26	Chalkida - Papagou	66:80 ✺
18.03.26	Papagou - Sofadon	80:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Greek Elite League Basketball
14.03.26	Megaridas - Papagou	81:74
06.12.25	Papagou - Megaridas	81:82
08.03.25	Megaridas - Papagou	84:88
23.11.24	Papagou - Megaridas	74:81
09.03.24	Papagou - Megaridas	73:76
02.12.23	Megaridas - Papagou	77:65
03.05.23	Megaridas - Papagou	105:102

Megaridas - Papagou: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide