Match Info

NBB

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)

Referee: Rodrigues H. (Bra)


	Pato		Bauru

	1	2
	2.3	1.56
	2.2	1.55
	2.42	1.56
	2.52	1.48	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.22	1.59	Watch
	2.4	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (2.16)	1.55 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 154.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
39.7%

Bauru
60.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

57.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bauru has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bauru than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
94.7%	0%	5.3%

Pato - Bauru Predictions

Users Predictions: Pato will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Pato will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Batista G.	23. Andrezao
13. Crews C.	3. Brite D.
41. Fidelis J.	10. Garcia A.
77. Horton R.	77. Materan J.
5. Thompson T.	6. Silva G.
Substitutes
24. de Souza M.	0. Eugeniusz M.
17. Gomes N.	7. Gustavo
10. Mateus	9. Infante P.
4. Nakazawa L.	11. Moreira
71. Penteado D.	8. Vithinho
79. Ribeiro G.
34. Zonzini W.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. Cezar P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 0.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Bauru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pato has had a series of away games.

Bauru will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Pato won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1204:1313. (average 75.3:82.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 638:627. (average 79.8:78.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
09.12.25	Rio Claro - Pato	101:109 OT ✺
06.12.25	Pato - Paulistano	67:59 ✺
22.11.25	São José dos Campos - Pato	86:71 ✺
19.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	87:68 ✺
17.11.25	Mogi - Pato	86:58 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLLL
- Paschoalotto Bauru
Brazilian NBB
12.12.25	Bauru - Mogi	62:58 ✺
10.12.25	Bauru - Corinthians Paulista	94:84 ✺
03.12.25	Bauru - São José dos Campos	84:91 ✺
23.11.25	Minas - Bauru	94:88 ✺
20.11.25	Basquete Cearense - Bauru	91:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
05.02.25	Pato - Bauru	91:94
13.12.24	Bauru - Pato	97:91
27.04.24	Bauru - Pato	71:62
21.04.24	Pato - Bauru	74:93
15.02.24	Bauru - Pato	89:79
14.11.23	Pato - Bauru	73:70
11.03.23	Bauru - Pato	74:55

Pato - Bauru: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide