Match Info

NBB

Date: 6 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Ginasio do Sesi (Pato Branco)

Referee: Moraes M. (Bra)


	Pato		Paulistano

	1	2
	2.6	1.45
	2.55	1.42
	2.87	1.41
	2.53	1.46	Watch
	2.7	1.44
	2.59	1.44	Watch
	2.85	1.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.45)	1.43 ↓ (1.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pato
34.9%

Paulistano
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.3%

59.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Paulistano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pato than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paulistano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Pato - Paulistano Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pato (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Crews C.	33. Braga G.
11. Edu Marilia	1. da Silva Brandao V.
41. Fidelis J.	44. Hunter K.
71. Penteado D.	11. Macedo
5. Thompson T.	23. Siewert L.
Substitutes
37. Batista G.	41. Demetrio L.
24. de Souza M.	4. Guilherme L.
17. Gomes N.	10. Inacio L.
77. Horton R.	9. Lucio
10. Mateus	35. Neto S.
4. Nakazawa L.	14. Pereira J.
34. Zonzini W.	8. Seixas H.
Coaches
. Gitiony R.	. Ferracciu D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pato won 3.

Pato is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Paulistano has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Pato may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Paulistano will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Pato won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1026:1095. (average 73.3:78.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pato won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 410:450. (average 68.3:75).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pato Basquete
Brazilian NBB
22.11.25	São José dos Campos - Pato	86:71 ✺
19.11.25	Corinthians Paulista - Pato	87:68 ✺
17.11.25	Mogi - Pato	86:58 ✺
14.11.25	Pato - Basquete Cearense	82:79 ✺
12.11.25	Pato - Unifacisa	62:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLWL
- Paulistano Basketball
Brazilian NBB
04.12.25	Paulistano - Botafogo	101:77 ✺
23.11.25	Paulistano - Caxias do Sul	77:66 ✺
20.11.25	Cruzeiro - Paulistano	86:106 ✺
18.11.25	Minas - Paulistano	94:63 ✺
15.11.25	Paulistano - Flamengo	80:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
26.03.25	Paulistano - Pato	77:94
17.11.24	Pato - Paulistano	66:65
09.03.24	Pato - Paulistano	83:73
22.11.23	Paulistano - Pato	79:68
23.04.23	Paulistano - Pato	92:78
21.04.23	Paulistano - Pato	90:57
18.04.23	Pato - Paulistano	82:70

Pato - Paulistano: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide