Match Info

NBB

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Ginasio Antonio Prado Jr (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Marques Inchauspe R. (Bra)


	Paulistano		Minas

	1	2
	2.4	1.53
	2.15	1.58
	2.17	1.69
	2.35	1.54	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.23	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.04)	1.59 ↓ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 165.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paulistano
41.2%

Minas
58.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.2%

59.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paulistano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Minas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paulistano than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minas than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Paulistano - Minas Predictions

Users Predictions: Paulistano will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Paulistano will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Braga G.	1. McCree E.
1. da Silva Brandao V.	24. Paranhos A.
44. Hunter K.	10. Rodriguez L.
10. Inacio L.	0. Williams J.
23. Siewert L.	27. Yuri E.
Substitutes
19. Aragao J.	20. Arengo J.
12. Caio Mathias	2. Fernando
41. Demetrio L.	5. Fischer R.
14. Pereira J.	9. Fuzaro D.
18. Pietro	23. Rafael Rachel
8. Seixas H.	15. Silva W.
17. Tovar E.
Coaches
. Ferracciu D.	. Costa L.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Paulistano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Paulistano has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Paulistano will win today's game, with odds of 2.11.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paulistano won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1482:1619. (average 74.1:81).

Including home matches between the teams, Paulistano won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 679:710. (average 75.4:78.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Paulistano - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 44.72%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paulistano Basketball
Brazilian NBB
19.02.26	Pinheiros - Paulistano	80:68 ✺
13.02.26	Caxias do Sul - Paulistano	80:73 ✺
11.02.26	União Corinthians - Paulistano	63:74 ✺
07.02.26	Paulistano - Osasco	86:73 ✺
03.02.26	Franca - Paulistano	89:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LLWWW
- Minas Basketball
Brazilian NBB
19.02.26	Minas - Rio Claro	98:95 OT ✺
17.02.26	Minas - Brasília Basquete	92:91 ✺
12.02.26	Franca - Minas	100:82 ✺
10.02.26	Bauru - Minas	105:90 ✺
Champions League Americas Basketball
06.02.26	Minas - Boca Juniors	67:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian NBB
18.11.25	Minas - Paulistano	94:63
14.04.25	Paulistano - Minas	66:76
20.12.24	Minas - Paulistano	86:82
11.03.24	Minas - Paulistano	72:70
25.11.23	Paulistano - Minas	71:86
09.05.23	Minas - Paulistano	71:67
07.05.23	Minas - Paulistano	68:83

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