Match Info
Liga A - Play Offs - 1/8-finalsDate: 2 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)
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Peñarol de Mar del Plata |
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Ferro Carril Oeste |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.65 |
|
2.12 |
|
 |
1.72 |
|
1.98 |
|
 |
1.7 |
|
2.05 |
|
 |
1.79 |
|
2.04 |
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 |
1.77 |
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1.94 |
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 |
1.71 |
|
2.06 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.72 ↑
(1.72) |
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2.03 ↑
(2.01) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 167.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
- The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Peñarol de Mar del Plata
54.1% | Ferro Carril Oeste
45.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Mar del Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Ferro Carril Oeste has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferro Carril Oeste than the current prediction. (-3.7%)Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:83 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
3.  Basualdo I.
| 25. Bettiga L.
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73.  Carreras X.
| 14. Diez A.
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4. Guerra L.
| 4. Lezcano E.
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18. Perez A.
| 6. Martinez J.
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1.  Thornton A.
| 2. Torresi J.
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Preview
Ferro Carril Oeste leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 2.The recent form of both competitors has been shaky. In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1660:1702. (average 83:85.1).Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 740:759. (average 82.2:84.3).
Outrights of Argentinian LNB for now
Penarol: 2.81%
Standings
| | Pl | W | L | | PCT |
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| 6 | Penarol | 1 | 1 | 0 | 62:57 | 1.000 |
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| 12 | Ferro | 2 | 1 | 1 | 165:171 | 0.500 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Argentinian LNB | | | 30.04.26 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste | 87:75 | | 26.04.26 | Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 80:78 | | 24.04.26 | Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 97:91 | | 19.04.26 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste | 87:80 | | 28.09.25 | Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 97:84 | | 27.04.25 | Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Ferro Carril Oeste | 73:75 | | 09.10.24 | Ferro Carril Oeste - Peñarol de Mar del Plata | 82:81 OT |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
