Match Info

Korisliiga Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 14 April 2026, Tuesday

Location: Steveco-Areena (Kotka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Ruutu+


	Peli-Karhut		Torpan Pojat

	1	2
	1.77	1.98
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	1.45	2.43
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.41)	2.18 ↓ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peli-Karhut
57.6%

Torpan Pojat
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.7%

35.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peli-Karhut has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Peli-Karhut's form might have worsened.

Torpan Pojat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torpan Pojat's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Peli-Karhut than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpan Pojat than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Peli Karhut - Torpan Pojat Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:71

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Arike E.	1. Agyei M.
5. Crawford D.	8. Gates S. (C)
20. Heard L. (C)	44. Tyson-Thomas C.
11. Savioja V.	32. Vesiluoma L.
22. Toomingas C.	14. Wisotzki J.
Substitutes
9. Gustavsson E.	15. Damoiseaux M.
1. Lemola E.	22. Karna C.
10. Mantykivi V.	11. Kuisma K.
43. Nurminen M.	6. Lehtonen J.
4. Vekkila T.	21. Luukkonen S.
	10. Mujunen A.
	23. Myllyoja I.
Coaches
. Makela R.	. Holopainen T.

Preview

Series tied 2-2. Fifth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, PeKa won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

PeKa will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, PeKa won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1499:1527. (average 75:76.4).

Including home matches between the teams, PeKa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 765:705. (average 76.5:70.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Torpan Pojat Helsinki W	2	1	1	198:157	2
6	PeKa W	2	1	1	130:148	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peli-Karhut Basketball Women
Finnish Korisliiga Women
11.04.26	Torpan Pojat - Peli-Karhut	73:66 ✺
08.04.26	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	66:62 ✺
05.04.26	Torpan Pojat - Peli-Karhut	73:75 ✺
02.04.26	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	78:82 ✺
23.03.26	Peli-Karhut - Espoon Honka	79:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLW
- Torpan Pojat Women
Finnish Korisliiga Women
11.04.26	Torpan Pojat - Peli-Karhut	73:66 ✺
08.04.26	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	66:62 ✺
05.04.26	Torpan Pojat - Peli-Karhut	73:75 ✺
02.04.26	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	78:82 ✺
30.03.26	Pyrinto Tampere - Torpan Pojat	52:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Korisliiga Women
11.04.26	Torpan Pojat - Peli-Karhut	73:66
08.04.26	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	66:62
05.04.26	Torpan Pojat - Peli-Karhut	73:75
02.04.26	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	78:82
11.03.26	Torpan Pojat - Peli-Karhut	96:74
17.01.26	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	87:71
01.10.25	Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat	90:61

Peli-Karhut - Torpan Pojat: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide