Match Info

NCAA

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Penn State Nittany Lions		Providence Friars

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Penn State Nittany Lions
36.8%

Providence Friars
63.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34%

66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

65.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Penn State Nittany Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Providence Friars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Penn State Nittany Lions than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Providence Friars than the current prediction. (+2%)

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Penn State is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Providence's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Penn State may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Penn State has had a series of home games.

Providence will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Penn State won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 55:52.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Penn State Nittany Lions basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Harvard Crimson	84:80 ✺
15.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - La Salle Explorers	69:83 ✺
11.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Navy Midshipmen	80:71 ✺
08.11.25	New Haven Chargers - Penn State Nittany Lions	43:87 ✺
03.11.25	Penn State Nittany Lions - Fairfield Stags	76:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWW
- Providence Friars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
18.11.25	Providence Friars - New Hampshire Wildcats	98:66 ✺
14.11.25	Colorado Buffaloes - Providence Friars	97:88 ✺
11.11.25	Providence Friars - Pennsylvania Quakers	106:81 ✺
08.11.25	Virginia Tech Hokies - Providence Friars	107:101 OT ✺
03.11.25	Providence Friars - Holy Cross Crusaders	89:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 WLWLW

NCAA College Basketball
16.11.12	Providence Friars - Penn State Nittany Lions	52:55 OT (

Penn State Nittany Lions - Providence Friars