Match Info

Liga A

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Polideportivo Islas Malvinas (Mar del Plata)


	Peñarol de Mar del Plata		San Martín de Corrientes

	1	2
	1.48	2.55	Watch
			Watch
	1.52	2.38	Watch
	1.56	2.42
	1.51	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)	2.44 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 153.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Peñarol de Mar del Plata
61.6%

San Martín de Corrientes
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.1%

37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Peñarol de Mar del Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

San Martín de Corrientes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Mar del Plata than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Corrientes than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Martín de Corrientes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Peñarol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:75

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
3. Basualdo I.	27. Aguerre F.
73. Carreras X.	15. Berra Fernandez L.
13. Cordoba G.	5. Garcia G.
18. Perez A.	1. Gargallo L.
9. Vazquez F.	20. Schattmann L.
Substitutes
35. Acuna R.	7. Becton R.
15. Chiaraviglio N.	4. Fernandez V.
4. Guerra L.	13. Giletto S.
10. Hoover N.	12. Mendez F.
33. Rossi G.	19. Nunez L.
1. Thornton A.	8. Ramallo G.
2. Tolosa F.	17. Rearte M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 4.

Peñarol is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

San Martín's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

San Martín may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Peñarol has had a series of home games.

Peñarol could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Peñarol won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1520:1518. (average 76:75.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Peñarol won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 908:836. (average 82.5:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Peñarol de Mar del Plata
Argentinian LNB
06.11.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Boca Juniors	89:78 ✺
19.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - La Unión Formosa	76:74 ✺
12.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Instituto Córdoba	85:83 ✺
08.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Quimsa	88:85 ✺
04.10.25	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - Regatas Corrientes	80:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWWL
- Club San Martín de Corrientes
Argentinian LNB
10.11.25	Obras Sanitarias - San Martín de Corrientes	77:67 ✺
03.11.25	San Martín de Corrientes - Quimsa	79:69 ✺
31.10.25	San Martín de Corrientes - Argentino	94:78 ✺
19.10.25	San Martín de Corrientes - Unión Santa Fe	83:73 ✺
14.10.25	Ferro Carril Oeste - San Martín de Corrientes	69:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian LNB
05.03.25	San Martín de Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	76:55
27.11.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Martín de Corrientes	87:61
03.06.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Martín de Corrientes	70:56
01.06.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Martín de Corrientes	66:54
29.05.24	San Martín de Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	70:72
27.05.24	San Martín de Corrientes - Peñarol de Mar del Plata	87:70
14.04.24	Peñarol de Mar del Plata - San Martín de Corrientes	69:76

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